Table 13.

Median (M), lower (L) and upper (U) 95% prediction intervals for the time (days post introduction) to 20% seroprevalence of classical swine fever virus in a pig herd

Scenario		Herd size
		50			100			200			1,000
		M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U
Short infectious period	Low transmission rate	40	30	59	44	36	65	50	41	70	61	52	76
	Medium transmission rate	26	23	31	28	24	33	30	27	35	34	31	37
	High transmission rate	22	19	26	23	19	26	24	22	27	26	24	29
Long infectious period	Low transmission rate	46	38	60	49	42	66	55	48	68	67	58	83
	Medium transmission rate	33	28	39	35	31	39	36	34	41	41	38	45
	High transmission rate	29	25	33	30	27	34	31	28	35	33	31	36