Table 3.

Posterior means and 95% credible intervals from negative binomial BYM models.

	Model 1		Model 2		Model 3
Variable	Mean	95% Credible Interval	Mean	95% Credible Interval	Mean	95% Credible Interval
Deprivation quintile 2	1.171	1.060–1.294	0.970	0.891–1.056	0.973	0.894–1.059
Deprivation quintile 3	1.360	1.225–1.510	1.025	0.937–1.121	1.044	0.955–1.142
Deprivation quintile 4	1.931	1.737–2.147	1.159	1.056–1.272	1.157	1.055–1.269
Deprivation quintile 5	3.819	3.406–4.281	1.210	1.077–1.357	1.262	1.126–1.414
Log population density			1.985	1.915–2.058	1.926	1.860–1.996
Person per room			10.411	5.264–22.533	11.822	5.954–26.231
SHI% change (per 5)					0.879	0.875–0.883
Spline term 1	2.207	2.100–2.320	2.220	2.113–2.333	1.084	1.025–1.145
Spline term 2	0.061	0.058–0.066	0.061	0.057–0.066	0.078	0.073–0.084
Spline term 3	0.124	0.117–0.132	0.124	0.117–0.132	0.215	0.202–0.228
Spline term 4	3.398	3.265–3.536	3.403	3.270–3.542	5.245	5.032–5.467
Spline term 5	2.254	2.172–2.339	2.259	2.176–2.344	2.903	2.797–3.014
Spline term 6	14.805	14.282–15.349	14.826	14.301–15.371	16.088	15.525–16.672
Spline term 7	5.915	5.657–6.186	5.907	5.649–6.178	3.942	3.769–4.123
Spatial hyperparameters
σui	1.162	1.081–250	0.861	0.804–0.922	0.815	0.754–0.878
σvi	0.529	0.477–0.580	0.466	0.429–0.500	0.483	0.448–0.517