Table A1.
Population standardized regressions with prison fixed effects predicting the active cases of COVID-19 among incarcerated persons.
| Model 1 | Model 2 | |||
| B | SE | B | SE | |
| Lagged active positive COVID-19 cases among incarcerated persons | 0.006 ** | (0.002) | 0.007 ** | (0.002) |
| Lagged and logged prevalence rate of staff COVID-19 infections (per 1000) | 0.238 ** | (0.053) | 0.776 ** | (0.097) |
| Lagged and logged incidence rate of COVID-19 cases in the county population (per 1000) | 0.656 ** | (0.185) | 1.158 ** | (0.194) |
| Lagged and logged rate of active staff COVID-19 cases per 1000 × lagged and logged rate of COVID-19 cases in the county population per 1000 | −0.240 ** | (0.034) | ||
| Homogenous policies, system-wide | −0.607 ** | (0.266) | −1.123 ** | (0.282) |
| Mask mandate instituted (24 August 2020 and beyond) | −0.469 | (0.242) | −0.842 ** | (0.244) |
| Linear time in every fourteenth day | 0.185 ** | (0.037) | 0.233 ** | (0.036) |
| Aliceville FCI | 0.541 | (0.781) | 0.511 | (0.787) |
| Ashland FCI | 0.774 | (0.704) | 0.625 | (0.725) |
| Atlanta USP | 0.793 | (0.760) | 0.370 | (0.766) |
| Atwater USP | −0.063 | (0.751) | −0.102 | (0.765) |
| Bastrop FCI | 0.692 | (0.724) | 0.823 | (0.735) |
| Beckley FCI | 1.097 | (0.687) | 0.764 | (0.713) |
| Bennettsville FCI | 0.810 | (0.761) | 0.852 | (0.770) |
| Berlin FCI | 0.716 | (0.776) | 1.173 | (0.803) |
| Big Spring FCI | 1.954 ** | (0.714) | 1.742 ** | (0.730) |
| Byran FPC | −1.269 | (0.830) | −0.830 | (0.812) |
| Big Sandy USP | −0.202 | (0.738) | −0.371 | (0.764) |
| Canaan USP | 0.965 | (0.693) | 0.748 | (0.715) |
| Cumberland FCI | 0.422 | (0.737) | 0.352 | (0.759) |
| Danbury FCI | 2.383 ** | (0.786) | 1.865 ** | (0.802) |
| Duluth FPC | 2.022 ** | (0.703) | 1.766 ** | (0.732) |
| Dublin FCI | 0.681 | (0.708) | 0.152 | (0.737) |
| Edgefield FCI | 0.673 | (0.746) | 0.385 | (0.761) |
| Elkton FCI | 3.139 ** | (0.754) | 2.600 ** | (0.765) |
| Englewood FCI | 1.197 | (0.727) | 1.188 | (0.734) |
| El Reno FCI | 0.667 | (0.725) | 0.766 | (0.737) |
| Fairton FCI | 1.900 ** | (0.805) | 1.659 ** | (0.808) |
| Fort Dix FCI | 1.518 ** | (0.754) | 1.186 | (0.754) |
| Gilmer FCI | 1.496 ** | (0.694) | 1.604 ** | (0.727) |
| Greenville FCI | 1.581 ** | (0.708) | 1.568 ** | (0.726) |
| Herlong FCI | 0.313 | (0.749) | 0.156 | (0.762) |
| Jesup FCI | 2.986 ** | (0.707) | 3.026 ** | (0.717) |
| La Tuna FCI | 0.666 | (0.763) | 1.150 | (0.771) |
| Lee USP | −0.188 | (0.729) | −0.276 | (0.750) |
| Lewisburg USP | 1.380 | (0.707) | 1.580 ** | (0.720) |
| Loretto FCI | 1.978 ** | (0.700) | 2.015 ** | (0.718) |
| Leavenworth USP | 1.035 | (0.734) | 0.997 | (0.740) |
| Manchester FCI | 1.797 ** | (0.713) | 1.605 ** | (0.730) |
| Marion USP | 2.164 ** | (0.701) | 2.199 ** | (0.713) |
| McDowell FCI | 0.189 | (0.717) | 0.052 | (0.741) |
| McKean FCI | 1.735 ** | (0.690) | 1.438 ** | (0.721) |
| McCreary USP | 0.257 | (0.716) | 0.097 | (0.741) |
| Memphis FCI | 0.475 | (0.752) | 0.478 | (0.755) |
| Mendota FCI | −1.157 | (0.799) | −1.283 | (0.808) |
| Miami FCI | 1.549 | (0.795) | 1.829 ** | (0.805) |
| Milan FCI | 1.934 ** | (0.757) | 1.455 | (0.772) |
| Montgomery FPC | −0.554 | (0.775) | −0.086 | (0.770) |
| Morgantown FCI | 0.685 | (0.726) | 0.534 | (0.741) |
| Otisville FCI | 0.984 | (0.862) | 0.691 | (0.863) |
| Oxford FCI | 2.052 ** | (0.692) | 1.906 ** | (0.710) |
| Pekin FCI | 1.255 | (0.707) | 1.330 | (0.727) |
| Pensacola FPC | −2.740 ** | (0.943) | −2.196 ** | (0.936) |
| Phoenix FCI | 0.448 | (0.753) | 0.420 | (0.761) |
| Ray Brook FCI | 1.818 ** | (0.712) | 1.742 ** | (0.742) |
| Safford FCI | 0.023 | (0.759) | 0.674 | (0.766) |
| Schuylkill FCI | 0.629 | (0.722) | −0.014 | (0.748) |
| Seagoville FCI | 2.637 ** | (0.750) | 2.186 ** | (0.758) |
| Sheridan FCI | 0.234 | (0.737) | 0.328 | (0.760) |
| Sandstone FCI | 2.144 ** | (0.686) | 2.065 ** | (0.699) |
| Tallahassee FCI | 0.588 | (0.753) | 0.855 | (0.759) |
| Talladega FCI | 1.157 | (0.743) | 1.072 | (0.751) |
| Texarkana FCI | 0.415 | (0.725) | 0.588 | (0.736) |
| Thomson USP | 1.765 ** | (0.698) | 1.879 ** | (0.712) |
| Terminal Island FCI | 4.046 ** | (0.757) | 3.550 ** | (0.765) |
| Three Rivers FCI | 2.407 ** | (0.730) | 2.174 ** | (0.735) |
| Waseca FCI | 2.178 ** | (0.715) | 2.041 ** | (0.728) |
| Williamsburg FCI | −1.032 | (0.791) | −0.772 | (0.787) |
| Yankton FPC | −0.685 | (0.829) | 0.527 | (0.811) |
| lnalpha | 1.105 ** | (0.050) | 1.056 ** | (0.050) |
| Constant | −9.579 ** | (0.621) | −10.156 ** | (0.648) |
| Observations | 1260 | 1260 | ||
Standard errors in parentheses; ** p < 0.05.