Table 4.
Operation of the URRBMI fund under different fertility policies and fertility intentions
| Situation | Time of occurrence of current deficit (Year) |
Time of occurrence of accumulated deficit (Year) |
Amount at the time of occurrence of deficit (Billion) |
Time delay (Year) |
2021–2030 Accumulated balance (Billion) |
2021–2050 Accumulated balance (Billion) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current balance | Accumulated balance | Current balance | Accumulated balance | |||||
| Strict one-child | 2021 | 2027 | −0.478 | −99.166 | – | – | −1194.312 | −54,369.347 |
|
Universal two-child (20%) |
2022 | 2028 | −8.509 | −72.060 | 1 | 1 | − 719.567 | −49,657.684 |
|
Universal two-child (40%) |
2022 | 2028 | −5.969 | −15.930 | 0 | 0 | −633.924 | −48,569.366 |
|
Universal two-child (60%) |
2022 | 2029 | −3.395 | − 219.239 | 0 | 1 | − 548.235 | −47,437.963 |
|
Universal two-child (80%) |
2022 | 2029 | −0.786 | − 149.025 | 0 | 0 | − 461.277 | −46,259.073 |
|
Universal two-child (100%) |
2023 | 2029 | −12.464 | −77.773 | 1 | 0 | − 372.991 | −45,029.947 |