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. 2021 Jul 16;18(14):7592. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18147592

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Cumulative confirmed cases divided into two segments using the segmentation algorithm. Japan is the typical country with two waves (red: first segment and green: second segment). (A) Epidemic segmented growth curve of COVID-19 fitted by the logistic model. Estimated parameters were (α1, β1, γ1, α2, β2, γ2) = (16549.7588, 7.8244, 0.1231, 58877.8030, 6.7353, and 0.0859, respectively). (B) Epidemic segmented growth curve of COVID-19 fitted by the Gompertz model. Estimated parameters were (α1, β1, γ1, α2, β2, γ2) = (17,531.5024, 89.4251, 0.0760, 98,622.3568, 15.6933, and 0.0325, respectively).