Table 3.
Economic evaluation of excess mortality during 2015–2019 heat waves in France
Year | Exposed population to heat waves | Health impacts | Economic evaluation of excess deaths (in billion €2017) | Economic evaluation per exposed inhabitant (in €2017) | Economic evaluation of YLL (in billion €2017) | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of excess deaths [min–max] | Excess death rate (per 100 000 exposed inhabitants) | Number of YLL [min–max] | Low [min–max] | Central [min–max] | High [min–max] | Low [min–max] | Central [min–max] | High [min–max] | Low [min–max] | Central [min–max] | High [min–max] | ||
2015 | 33,181,782 | 1782 [1396–2169] | 5.37 [4.21–6.54] | 19,844 [14,443–25,628] | 3.8 [3.0–4.6] | 5.6 [4.4–6.9] | 7.5 [5.9–9.1] | 114 [89–139] | 170 [133–207] | 226 [177–276] | 1.1 [0.8–1.4] | 1.6 [1.2–2.1] | 2.2 [1.6–2.8] |
2016 | 20,511,564 | 516 [376–677] | 2.52 [1.83–3.30] | 7261 [5020–10,036] | 1.1 [0.80–1.4] | 1.6 [1.2–2.1] | 2.2 [1.6–2.9] | 53 [39–70] | 80 [58–105] | 106 [77–139] | 0.4 [0.3–0.6] | 0.6 [0.4–0.8] | 0.8 [0.55–1.1] |
2017 | 46,306,151 | 991 [596–1532] | 2.14 [1.29–3.31] | 15,679 [9705–24,720] | 2.1 [1.3–3.3] | 3.1 [1.9–4.9] | 4.2 [2.5–6.5] | 45 [27–70] | 68 [41–105] | 90 [54–139] | 0.9 [0.5–1.4] | 1.3 [0.8–2.0] | 1.7 [1.1–2.7] |
2018 | 48,547,206 | 1988 [1416–2674] | 4.09 [2.92–5.51] | 28,547 [19,093–40,367] | 4.2 [3.0–5.7] | 6.3 [4.5–8.5] | 8.4 [6.0–11.3] | 87 [62–117] | 130 [92–175] | 173 [123–232] | 1.6 [1.0–2.2] | 2.3 [1.6–3.3] | 3.1 [2.1–4.4] |
2019 | 60,375,314 | 2032 [1234–3053] | 3.37 [2.04–5.06] | 30,777 [18,744–47,181] | 4.3 [2.6–6.5] | 6.4 [3.9–9.7] | 8.6 [5.2–12.9] | 71 [43–107] | 107 [65–160] | 142 [86–213] | 1.7 [1.0–2.6] | 2.5 [1.5–3.9] | 3.4 [2.0–5.1] |
All intervals in brackets are the minimum and maximum estimates of the underlying models used to estimate excess deaths and YLL