Skip to main content
. 2021 Jul 25;23(1):119–131. doi: 10.1007/s10198-021-01357-2

Table 3.

Economic evaluation of excess mortality during 2015–2019 heat waves in France

Year Exposed population to heat waves Health impacts Economic evaluation of excess deaths (in billion €2017) Economic evaluation per exposed inhabitant (in €2017) Economic evaluation of YLL (in billion €2017)
Number of excess deaths [min–max] Excess death rate (per 100 000 exposed inhabitants) Number of YLL [min–max] Low [min–max] Central [min–max] High [min–max] Low [min–max] Central [min–max] High [min–max] Low [min–max] Central [min–max] High [min–max]
2015 33,181,782 1782 [1396–2169] 5.37 [4.21–6.54] 19,844 [14,443–25,628] 3.8 [3.0–4.6] 5.6 [4.4–6.9] 7.5 [5.9–9.1] 114 [89–139] 170 [133–207] 226 [177–276] 1.1 [0.8–1.4] 1.6 [1.2–2.1] 2.2 [1.6–2.8]
2016 20,511,564 516 [376–677] 2.52 [1.83–3.30] 7261 [5020–10,036] 1.1 [0.80–1.4] 1.6 [1.2–2.1] 2.2 [1.6–2.9] 53 [39–70] 80 [58–105] 106 [77–139] 0.4 [0.3–0.6] 0.6 [0.4–0.8] 0.8 [0.55–1.1]
2017 46,306,151 991 [596–1532] 2.14 [1.29–3.31] 15,679 [9705–24,720] 2.1 [1.3–3.3] 3.1 [1.9–4.9] 4.2 [2.5–6.5] 45 [27–70] 68 [41–105] 90 [54–139] 0.9 [0.5–1.4] 1.3 [0.8–2.0] 1.7 [1.1–2.7]
2018 48,547,206 1988 [1416–2674] 4.09 [2.92–5.51] 28,547 [19,093–40,367] 4.2 [3.0–5.7] 6.3 [4.5–8.5] 8.4 [6.0–11.3] 87 [62–117] 130 [92–175] 173 [123–232] 1.6 [1.0–2.2] 2.3 [1.6–3.3] 3.1 [2.1–4.4]
2019 60,375,314 2032 [1234–3053] 3.37 [2.04–5.06] 30,777 [18,744–47,181] 4.3 [2.6–6.5] 6.4 [3.9–9.7] 8.6 [5.2–12.9] 71 [43–107] 107 [65–160] 142 [86–213] 1.7 [1.0–2.6] 2.5 [1.5–3.9] 3.4 [2.0–5.1]

All intervals in brackets are the minimum and maximum estimates of the underlying models used to estimate excess deaths and YLL