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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jul 26.
Published in final edited form as: Weather Clim Soc. 2021;13(1):107–123. doi: 10.1175/wcas-d-20-0036.1

Table 2.

Number of millions of people living in endemic counties in the United States based on the ICLUSv2 future population estimates and 2010 constant population (in parentheses) projected for the RCP8.5 climate scenario for each Earth system model for 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090. The PRISM reference (mean 2000–15) is 48.8 million people.

CanESM2 CCSM4 GFDL CM3 GISS-E2-R HadGEM2-ES MIROC5 Multimodel mean
2030 64.7 (51.6) 66.2 (52.7) 65.8 (52.5) 62.7 (50.1) 63.9 (51.0) 66.7 (53.2) 65.0 (51.9)
2050 73.0 (50.2) 75.8 (52.4) 82.3 (56.7) 77.0 (52.4) 83.6 (57.5) 83.8 (57.4) 79.2 (54.4)
2070 57.0 (36.2) 92.4 (56.9) 87.7 (54.3) 87.9 (53.6) 96.7 (59.7) 96.2 (59.0) 86.3 (53.3)
2090 61.0 (36.2) 99.2 (57.1) 104.4 (59.6) 94.7 (54.4) 98.8 (57.0) 107.0 (61.1) 94.2 (54.2)