Table 2.
Number of millions of people living in endemic counties in the United States based on the ICLUSv2 future population estimates and 2010 constant population (in parentheses) projected for the RCP8.5 climate scenario for each Earth system model for 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090. The PRISM reference (mean 2000–15) is 48.8 million people.
CanESM2 | CCSM4 | GFDL CM3 | GISS-E2-R | HadGEM2-ES | MIROC5 | Multimodel mean | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2030 | 64.7 (51.6) | 66.2 (52.7) | 65.8 (52.5) | 62.7 (50.1) | 63.9 (51.0) | 66.7 (53.2) | 65.0 (51.9) |
2050 | 73.0 (50.2) | 75.8 (52.4) | 82.3 (56.7) | 77.0 (52.4) | 83.6 (57.5) | 83.8 (57.4) | 79.2 (54.4) |
2070 | 57.0 (36.2) | 92.4 (56.9) | 87.7 (54.3) | 87.9 (53.6) | 96.7 (59.7) | 96.2 (59.0) | 86.3 (53.3) |
2090 | 61.0 (36.2) | 99.2 (57.1) | 104.4 (59.6) | 94.7 (54.4) | 98.8 (57.0) | 107.0 (61.1) | 94.2 (54.2) |