Table 2. Population at risk and numbers of cases infected and with clinical manifestations by endemicity level for 2030.
Hypoendemic | Mesoendemic | Hyperendemic | Very hyperendemic | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | % | DALYs | N | % | DALYs | N | % | DALYs | N | % | DALYs | |
Total population at risk | 145,846 | 100 | - | 67,483 | 100 | - | 18,053 | 100 | - | 4,721 | 100 | - |
Mf-positive | 4,299 | 2.9 | - | 1,237 | 1.8 | - | 692 | 3.8 | - | 585 | 12.4 | - |
Mf-positive (age 5+) | 4,299 | 2.9 | - | 1,237 | 1.8 | - | 691 | 3.8 | - | 585 | 12.4 | - |
Adult female worm infection | 8,735 | 6.0 | - | 3,326 | 4.9 | - | 2,083 | 11.5 | - | 1,432 | 30.3 | - |
Palpable nodules | 482 | 0.3 | 5 | 419 | 0.6 | 4 | 281 | 1.6 | 3 | 231 | 4.9 | 2 |
Severe itch | 353 | 0.2 | 64 | 107 | 0.2 | 19 | 56 | 0.3 | 10 | 26 | 0.5 | 5 |
Reactive skin disease | 89 | 0.1 | 4 | 23 | <0.05 | 1 | 11 | 0.1 | <0.5 | 6 | 0.1 | <0.5 |
Total reversible onchocercal skin disease | 442 | 0.3 | 68 | 130 | 0.2 | 21 | 67 | 0.4 | 11 | 32 | 0.7 | 5 |
Mild depigmentation | 366 | 0.3 | 4 | 274 | 0.4 | 3 | 174 | 1 | 2 | 65 | 1.4 | 1 |
Severe depigmentation | 277 | 0.2 | 18 | 233 | 0.3 | 15 | 238 | 1.3 | 15 | 115 | 2.4 | 7 |
Atrophy | <0.5 | <0.05 | <0.5 | <0.5 | <0.05 | <0.5 | <0.5 | <0.05 | <0.5 | <0.5 | <0.05 | <0.5 |
Hanging groin | <0.5 | <0.05 | <0.5 | 1 | <0.05 | <0.5 | 6 | <0.05 | 2 | 8 | 0.2 | 3 |
Total irreversible onchocercal skin disease | 643 | 0.4 | 22 | 508 | 0.8 | 18 | 418 | 2.3 | 20 | 188 | 4 | 11 |
Total onchocercal skin disease* | 1,566 | 1.1 | 95 | 1,057 | 1.6 | 43 | 765 | 4.2 | 33 | 451 | 9.5 | 18 |
Visual impairment | 192 | 0.1 | 6 | 69 | 0.1 | 2 | 38 | 0.2 | 1 | 17 | 0.3 | 1 |
Blindness | 34 | <0.05 | 227 | 10 | <0.05 | 74 | 14 | 0.1 | 102 | 11 | 0.2 | 87 |
Total onchocercal eye disease | 226 | 0.2 | 233 | 80 | 0.1 | 77 | 51 | 0.3 | 103 | 27 | 0.6 | 87 |
Total all manifestations | 1,792 | 1.2 | 329 | 1,137 | 1.7 | 120 | 817 | 4.5 | 137 | 478 | 10.1 | 106 |
* Note: Total onchocercal skin disease is the sum of palpable nodules, reversible and irreversible skin disease.