Table 3.
Joinpoint analysis of trends in standardised 1-year and 5-year mortality rates after incident kidney failure and KRT in people with diabetes in Hong Kong between 2002 and 2015.
| Rates per 100 |
Period 1 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year mortality rates | 2002 | 2015 | AAPC (95% CI) | P | Period | APC (95% CI) | P |
| After kidney failure | |||||||
| All | 35.9 | 23.3 | -2.7 (-3.4, -1.9) | <0.001 | 2002-2015 | -2.7 (-3.4, -1.9) | <0.001 |
| Men | 39.7 | 25.4 | -2.5 (-3.6, -1.4) | <0.001 | 2002-2015 | -2.5 (-3.6, -1.4) | <0.001 |
| Women | 32.1 | 21.1 | -3.0 (-4.0, -2.0) | <0.001 | 2002-2015 | -3.0 (-4.0, -2.0) | <0.001 |
| 20-44 years | 9.2 | 8.9 | 1.7 (-6.2, 10.2) | 0.666 | 2002-2015 | 1.7 (-6.2, 10.2) | 0.666 |
| 45-64 years | 16.7 | 13.0 | -2.7 (-4.3, -1.1) | 0.004 | 2002-2015 | -2.7 (-4.3, -1.1) | 0.004 |
| 65-74 years | 36.4 | 17.7 | -4.1 (-5.9, -2.2) | 0.001 | 2002-2015 | -4.1 (-5.9, -2.2) | 0.001 |
| ≥75 years | 44.6 | 30.9 | -2.3 (-3.1, -1.6) | <0.001 | 2002-2015 | -2.3 (-3.1, -1.6) | <0.001 |
| After KRT | |||||||
| All | 20.0 | 11.2 | -3.8 (-5.2, -2.4) | <0.001 | 2002-2015 | -3.8 (-5.2, -2.4) | <0.001 |
| Men | 17.8 | 13.0 | -3.1 (-4.3, -1.9) | <0.001 | 2002-2015 | -3.1 (-4.3, -1.9) | <0.001 |
| Women | 22.2 | 9.4 | -4.5 (-7.2, -1.8) | 0.004 | 2002-2015 | -4.5 (-7.2, -1.8) | 0.004 |
| 20-44 years* | 5.9 | 3.5 | / | / | / | / | / |
| 45-64 years | 15.1 | 9.5 | -2.9 (-5.9, 0.2) | 0.064 | 2002-2015 | -2.9 (-5.9, 0.2) | 0.064 |
| 65-74 years | 26.4 | 13.1 | -4.7 (-7.7, -1.7) | 0.005 | 2002-2015 | -4.7 (-7.7, -1.7) | 0.005 |
| ≥75 years | 29.6 | 16.6 | -4.6 (-7.7, -1.4) | 0.009 | 2002-2015 | -4.6 (-7.7, -1.4) | 0.009 |
| 5-year mortality rates | 2002 | 2011 | AAPC (95% CI) | P | Period | APC (95% CI) | P |
| After kidney failure | |||||||
| All | 81.8 | 73.6 | -1.0 (-1.2, -0.8) | <0.001 | 2002-2011 | -1.0 (-1.2, -0.8) | <0.001 |
| Men | 81.3 | 76.9 | -0.6 (-0.9, -0.2) | 0.007 | 2002-2011 | -0.6 (-0.9, -0.2) | 0.007 |
| Women | 82.3 | 70.4 | -1.4 (-1.8, -1.0) | <0.001 | 2002-2011 | -1.4 (-1.8, -1.0) | <0.001 |
| 20-44 years | 24.4 | 31.1 | 2.1 (-4.8, 9.4) | 0.520 | 2002-2011 | 2.1 (-4.8, 9.4) | 0.520 |
| 45-64 years | 60.8 | 48.4 | -2.5 (-3.4, -1.7) | <0.001 | 2002-2011 | -2.5 (-3.4, -1.7) | <0.001 |
| 65-74 years | 81.8 | 69.9 | -1.2 (-1.9, -0.5) | 0.003 | 2002-2011 | -1.2 (-1.9, -0.5) | 0.003 |
| ≥75 years | 92.9 | 87.7 | -0.5 (-0.9, -0.2) | 0.004 | 2002-2011 | -0.5 (-0.9, -0.2) | 0.004 |
| After KRT | |||||||
| All | 62.8 | 61.6 | -0.8 (-1.9, 0.3) | 0.115 | 2002-2011 | -0.8 (-1.9, 0.3) | 0.115 |
| Men | 66.7 | 62.0 | -0.2 (-1.6, 1.3) | 0.783 | 2002-2011 | -0.2 (-1.6, 1.3) | 0.783 |
| Women | 59.0 | 61.3 | -1.4 (-2.8, 0.1) | 0.058 | 2002-2011 | -1.4 (-2.8, 0.1) | 0.058 |
| 20-44 years | 20.4 | 44.3 | 5.3 (-0.5, 11.4) | 0.070 | 2002-2011 | 5.3 (-0.5, 11.4) | 0.070 |
| 45-64 years | 56.5 | 53.2 | -1.4 (-2.8, -0.1) | 0.043 | 2002-2011 | -1.4 (-2.8, -0.1) | 0.043 |
| 65-74 years | 75.0 | 72.7 | -0.9 (-1.9, 0.03) | 0.055 | 2002-2011 | -0.9 (-1.9, 0.03) | 0.055 |
| ≥75 years | 77.4 | 75.0 | -0.7 (-2.4, 1.2) | 0.427 | 2002-2011 | -0.7 (-2.4, 1.2) | 0.427 |
*Joinpoint regression analysis for 1-year mortality rates was not performed for people aged 20-44 years because no people aged 20-44 years died within one year after KRT in 2009.