Table 5. Results of GLMs in relationship of deaths over population size per 100000 at every 5 consecutive days (DOPSPTT) with the CCOPSPTT, socio-economic determinants, spatial distance, climate factors and time in cities outside and within Hubei province.
Types | Regression parameters | Baseline model | Time-delay model | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficients | Coefficients | ||||||
Estimate | SE | p-value | Estimate | SE | p-value | ||
Hubei province | Intercept | -3×E-4 | 3×E-4 | 0.43 | -4×E-4 | 3×E-4 | 0.41 |
Population (Ten thousand) | -1×E-7 | 2×E-7 | 0.67 | -2×E-7 | 2×E-7 | 0.62 | |
GDP (Hundreds of millions RMB) | 1×E-7 | 2×E-8 | <0.001*** | 1×E-7 | 2×E-8 | <0.001*** | |
DW (km) | -4×E-7 | 2×E-7 | 0.24 | -3×E-7 | 2×E-7 | 0.29 | |
Relative air humidity (%) | 2×E-6 | 3×E-6 | 0.63 | 1×E-6 | 3×E-6 | 0.57 | |
Solar radiation intensity (h) | -2×E-6 | 9×E-6 | 0.85 | -2×E-6 | 9×E-6 | 0.82 | |
Average temperature (°C) | -1×E-5 | 1×E-5 | 0.41 | -1×E-5 | 1×E-5 | 0.36 | |
Time (d) | 9×E-6 | 6×E-6 | 0.09 | 1×E-7 | 6×E-6 | 0.06 | |
The CCOPSPTT | 0.01 | 2×E-3 | <0.001*** | 0.01 | 2×E-3 | <0.001*** | |
AIC | -1553.32 | -1569.39 | |||||
Marginal R2 | 0.82 | 0.79 | |||||
Conditional R2 | 0.84 | 0.80 | |||||
Other provinces | Intercept | -9×E-7 | 3×E-7 | <0.001*** | -9×E-7 | 3×E-7 | <0.001*** |
Population (Ten thousand) | 1×E-9 | 3×E-10 | <0.001*** | 9×E-8 | 3×E-10 | <0.001*** | |
GDP (Hundreds of millions RMB) | 6×E-11 | 2×E-11 | <0.05* | 5×E-11 | 2×E-11 | <0.05* | |
DW (km) | 3×E-10 | 2×E-10 | <0.05* | 3×E-10 | 2×E-10 | <0.05* | |
DLPC (km) | 5×E-11 | 5×E-10 | 0.92 | 6×E-11 | 6×E-10 | 0.92 | |
Relative air humidity (%) | 1×E-9 | 9×E-10 | 0.22 | 1×E-9 | 1×E-11 | 0.21 | |
Solar radiation intensity (h) | -1×E-8 | 2×E-8 | 0.63 | -1×E-8 | 2×E-8 | 0.64 | |
Average temperature (°C) | -9×E-9 | 9×E-9 | 0.31 | -9×E-9 | 9×E-9 | 0.34 | |
Time (d) | 2×E-8 | 8×E-9 | <0.05* | 1×E-8 | 8×E-9 | <0.05* | |
The CCOPSPTT | 4×E-3 | 6×E-4 | <0.001*** | 3×E-3 | 6×E-4 | <0.001*** | |
AIC | -48088.99 | -48101.99 | |||||
Marginal R2 | 0.14 | 0.11 | |||||
Conditional R2 | 0.14 | 0.10 |