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. 2021 Jul 28;11:15330. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-94793-2

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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(A) Agreement among the general circulation models (GCMs) in predicted future distribution of Ixodes holocyclus under the low-emissions representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario. Gray indicates areas under stable suitable conditions. Lighter to darker shades of red indicate areas in which one and progressively more GCMs predicted gains in suitability for I. holocyclus distribution under RCP 4.5 scenario. Lighter to darker shades of green indicate areas in which one and progressively more GCMs predicted loss of territory for I. holocyclus compared to present day distribution. (B) Agreement among the general circulation models (GCMs) in predicted future distribution of Ixodes holocyclus under the high-emissions representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario. Gray indicates areas under stable suitable conditions. Lighter to darker shades of red indicate areas in which one and progressively more GCMs predicted gains in suitability for I. holocyclus distribution under RCP 8.5 scenario. Lighter to darker shades of green indicate areas in which one and progressively more GCMs predicted loss of territory for I. holocyclus compared to present day distribution.