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. 2021 Jul 29;18:14. doi: 10.1186/s12976-021-00143-0

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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Fig. 4 — Percentage of averted deaths in 2021 in (a) Brazil and (b) the State of Sao Paulo as a function of the number of vaccinated individuals for different start dates for the vaccination campaign. Three different combinations of vaccination adherence (w) and vaccine efficacy (q) were considered: w = 0.8 and q = 0.9 (best-case scenario), w = 0.7 and q = 0.7 (baseline scenario) and w = 0.5 and q = 0.5 (worst-case scenario)