Table 2.
AUC scores of the hourly and daily forecasters for the testing and evaluation cohorts.
| Testing dataset | Evaluation dataset | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hourly AUC | Daily AUC | Hourly AUC | Daily AUC | ||
| Participant | 1 | 0.79* | 0.64* | 0.68* | 0.42 |
| 2 | 0.71* | 0.61* | |||
| 3 | 0.93* | 0.62* | 0.94* | 0.69* | |
| 4 | 0.89* | 0.92* | |||
| 5 | 0.75* | 0.72* | |||
| 6 | 0.57* | 0.46 | 0.55* | 0.62* | |
| 7 | 0.67* | 0.64* | 0.41 | 0.45 | |
| 8 | 0.70* | 0.70* | 0.82* | 0.80* | |
| 9 | 0.76* | 0.68* | 0.57* | 0.45 | |
| 10 | 0.66* | 0.66* | 0.61* | 0.80* | |
| 11 | 0.69* | 0.61* | 0.84* | 0.45 | |
| Mean (SD) | 0.74 (0.1) | 0.66 (0.11) | 0.68 (0.18) | 0.59 (0.16) | |
Indicates performance greater than chance (the rate-matched random forecast).