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. 2021 Jul 29;12:4467. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-24487-w

Table 1.

2020 mortality cost of carbon (MCC).

Low mortality estimate (<10th percentile) Central mortality estimate High mortality estimate (>90th percentile)
Baseline emissions scenario (4.1 °C warming by 2100) −1.71 × 10−4 2.26  × 104 6.78 × 104
Optimal emissions scenario (2.4 °C warming by 2100) −2.16 × 10−4 1.07 × 10−4 5.22 × 10−4

DICE-EMR projects that an additional metric ton of carbon dioxide emitted in 2020 causes 2.26 × 10−4 excess deaths from 2020 to 2100 in the central estimate in the baseline emissions scenario and 1.07 × 10−4 excess deaths in the central estimate in the optimal emissions scenario.