Table 1.
Low mortality estimate (<10th percentile) | Central mortality estimate | High mortality estimate (>90th percentile) | |
---|---|---|---|
Baseline emissions scenario (4.1 °C warming by 2100) | −1.71 × 10−4 | 2.26 × 10−4 | 6.78 × 10−4 |
Optimal emissions scenario (2.4 °C warming by 2100) | −2.16 × 10−4 | 1.07 × 10−4 | 5.22 × 10−4 |
DICE-EMR projects that an additional metric ton of carbon dioxide emitted in 2020 causes 2.26 × 10−4 excess deaths from 2020 to 2100 in the central estimate in the baseline emissions scenario and 1.07 × 10−4 excess deaths in the central estimate in the optimal emissions scenario.