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. 2021 Jul 29;12:4467. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-24487-w

Table 2.

2020 social cost of carbon (SCC).

VSLY = per capita consumption VSLY = 2× per capita consumption VSLY = 4× per capita consumption VSLY = 8× per capita consumption VSLY = 16× per capita consumption
DICE baseline emissions scenario
2020 SCC $135 $177 $258 $414 $789
Mortality response uncertainty [−$6, $255] [−$28, $349] [−$69, $545] [−$140, $915] [−$274, $1621]
Optimized emissions scenario
2020 SCC $91 $110 $158 $221 $430
Mortality response uncertainty [−$74, $233] [−$77, $309] [−$142, $475] [−$267, $816] [−$556, $1,333]

In the primary specification, DICE-EMR projects that the 2020 social cost of carbon is $258 in the baseline emissions scenario and $158 in the optimized emissions scenario. These figures vary with the value of statistical life year (VSLY) estimates.