Table 2.

Results (RRR and 95% CI) on the association of symptoms at T1 with symptoms at T2 by group and JTC bias

	Model 1a		Model 2b		Model 3c		Model 4d
	RRR (95% CI)	p	adj. RRR (95% CI)	p	adj. RRR (95% CI)	p	adj. RRR (95% CI)	p
Reference: no symptoms at T1 and T2
Outcome: Affective dysregulation + frank psychosis at T2
Symptoms at T1
Affective dysregulation	3.3 (1.2–8.7)	0.016	3.3 (1.2–8.7)	0.017	3.1 (1.2–8.2)	0.024	3.1 (1.2–8.1)	0.025
Psychotic experiences	25.7 (7.0–94.8)	<0.001	25.3 (6.8–93.4)	<0.001	23.8 (6.2–91.7)	<0.001	21.7 (5.7–83.2)	<0.001
Affective dysregulation  + aberrant salience	9.6 (2.7–34.7)	0.001	9.6 (2.7–34.9)	0.001	8.1 (2.2–29.5)	0.002	7.4 (2.0–27.4)	0.003
Affective dysregulation + frank psychosis	79.2 (6.6–953.8)	0.001	78.0 (6.5–939.8)	0.001	54.1 (5.0–587.5)	0.001	50.5 (5.0–506.4)	0.001
Presence of reasoning bias
JTC bias	1.1 (0.4–3.3)	0.843	1.1 (0.4–3.3)	0.852	1.2 (0.4–3.7)	0.715	1.2 (0.4–3.5)	0.779
Interaction of symptoms at T1 and reasoning bias
Affective dysregulation × JTC bias	1.5 (0.4–5.5)	0.535	1.4 (0.4–5.1)	0.632	1.3 (0.4–5.0)	0.658	1.3 (0.4–5.0)	0.659
Psychotic experiences × JTC bias	0.5 (0.1–3.3)	0.509	0.6 (0.1–3.4)	0.525	0.5 (0.1–3.1)	0.453	0.5 (0.1–3.2)	0.474
Affective dysregulation  + aberrant salience × JTC bias	4.2 (0.9–20.1)	0.071	3.7 (0.8–17.8)	0.105	3.6 (0.7–17.8)	0.111	3.8 (0.8–18.6)	0.101
Affective dysregulation  + frank psychosis × JTC bias	10.7 (0.5–221.3)	0.124	10.8 (0.5–222.6)	0.123	13.0 (0.7–258.9)	0.093	12.7 (0.7–239.6)	0.091

df, degrees of freedom; CI, confidence interval; RRR, relative risk ratio.

^aUnadjusted model, unrestricted sample (N = 4596 individuals who completed the beads task at the third wave).

^bUnadjusted model, restricted sample (N = 4333 individuals who completed the beads task as well as other measures).

^cModel adjusted for socio-demographics (i.e. age, gender and level of education), restricted sample.

^dModel adjusted for socio-demographics and cognitive alterations (i.e. working memory performance), restricted sample.