Table 3.
Predicted number of new breast cancer cases and deaths in China and changes between 2015 and 2030, stratified into changes due to risk and demographics by region
| Areas | Number of new cases or deaths |
Change between 2015 and 2030 (%) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | Total change | Change due to risk | Change due to demographics | Change due to age structure | Change due to population size | |
| Incidence | |||||||||
| All areas | 303,600 | 338,200 | 375,100 | 413,800 | 36.27 | 13.33 | 22.94 | 10.98 | 11.96 |
| Urban areas | 205,100 | 248,400 | 293,900 | 338,100 | 64.87 | 17.92 | 46.96 | 11.79 | 35.17 |
| Rural areas | 98,500 | 89,800 | 81,200 | 75,600 | –23.26 | 3.79 | –27.05 | 9.31 | –36.36 |
| Mortality | |||||||||
| All areas | 70,400 | 82,100 | 95,000 | 108,400 | 54.01 | 13.09 | 40.92 | 24.10 | 16.82 |
| Urban areas | 45,900 | 57,000 | 70,000 | 83,300 | 81.45 | 10.24 | 71.21 | 27.80 | 43.41 |
| Rural areas | 24,500 | 25,200 | 25,300 | 25,100 | 2.60 | 18.42 | –15.82 | 17.17 | –32.99 |