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. 2021 Aug 4;23(6):917–940. doi: 10.1007/s10198-021-01347-4

Table 2.

Structure of the single models for patients hospitalized with mild symptoms and in the ICU

Models AICc Structure
Patients hospitalized with mild symptoms
 ARIMA 3170.61 Seasonal (1, 2, 3) (0, 0, 1)7
 ETS 3846.92 (A, Ad, N)
 NNAR (7, 1, 4)7
 TBATS 3550.91 (0.428, {2,2}, 1, {< 7,2 >})
Patients hospitalized in the ICU
 ARIMA 2106.46 Seasonal (1, 2, 2) (0, 0, 1)7
 ETS 2775.88 (A, A, N)
 NNAR (6, 1, 4)7
 (T)BATS 2506.27 (0.427, {0,0}, 1, –)

Notes: TBATS models were chosen using AIC metric