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. 2021 Aug 4;23(6):917–940. doi: 10.1007/s10198-021-01347-4

Table 4.

Forecast accuracy measures for the single and hybrid models (patients hospitalized in the ICU)

Models MAE MAPE MASE RMSE ACF1
ARIMA 12.5828 3.5411 0.0495 21.1697 0.0375
ETS 13.3832 3.59 0.0527 22.8157 0.0181
NNAR 11.6316 2.8082 0.0458 19.2895 − 0.1636
TBATS 14.226 3.5832 0.056 24.2076 0.3122
A–E 12.5388 3.47 0.0493 21.5479 0.0072
A–N 11.4917 3.0443 0.0452 18.7476 − 0.0513
A–T 12.8579 3.4874 0.0506 21.953 0.159
E–N 11.9035 3.064 0.0468 19.5496 − 0.0947
E–T 13.3764 3.5436 0.0526 22.9583 0.1504
N–T 11.9856 2.9767 0.0472 19.695 0.0627
A–E–N 11.8861 3.0595 0.0468 19.8477 − 0.0521
A–E–T 12.4876 3.3605 0.0491 21.3983 0.1502
A–N–T 12.0046 3.009 0.0472 19.9841 0.0474
E–N–T 12.383 3.0362 0.0487 20.7628 0.0377
A–E–N–T 12.188 3.0256 0.048 20.538 0.0277

Notes: A ARIMA, E ETS, N NNAR, T TBATS. Hybrid models were combined using equal weights