Table 4.
Forecast accuracy measures for the single and hybrid models (patients hospitalized in the ICU)
| Models | MAE | MAPE | MASE | RMSE | ACF1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMA | 12.5828 | 3.5411 | 0.0495 | 21.1697 | 0.0375 |
| ETS | 13.3832 | 3.59 | 0.0527 | 22.8157 | 0.0181 |
| NNAR | 11.6316 | 2.8082 | 0.0458 | 19.2895 | − 0.1636 |
| TBATS | 14.226 | 3.5832 | 0.056 | 24.2076 | 0.3122 |
| A–E | 12.5388 | 3.47 | 0.0493 | 21.5479 | 0.0072 |
| A–N | 11.4917 | 3.0443 | 0.0452 | 18.7476 | − 0.0513 |
| A–T | 12.8579 | 3.4874 | 0.0506 | 21.953 | 0.159 |
| E–N | 11.9035 | 3.064 | 0.0468 | 19.5496 | − 0.0947 |
| E–T | 13.3764 | 3.5436 | 0.0526 | 22.9583 | 0.1504 |
| N–T | 11.9856 | 2.9767 | 0.0472 | 19.695 | 0.0627 |
| A–E–N | 11.8861 | 3.0595 | 0.0468 | 19.8477 | − 0.0521 |
| A–E–T | 12.4876 | 3.3605 | 0.0491 | 21.3983 | 0.1502 |
| A–N–T | 12.0046 | 3.009 | 0.0472 | 19.9841 | 0.0474 |
| E–N–T | 12.383 | 3.0362 | 0.0487 | 20.7628 | 0.0377 |
| A–E–N–T | 12.188 | 3.0256 | 0.048 | 20.538 | 0.0277 |
Notes: A ARIMA, E ETS, N NNAR, T TBATS. Hybrid models were combined using equal weights