Table 3.
Government costs and lost tax revenue for three different AHP clinical scenarios (discounted at 3%)
| GP | Scenario 1 AL-W | Change 1 (AL-W – GP) | Scenario 2 A10-W | Change 2 (A10-W – GP) | Scenario 3 A10 + W | Change 3 (A10 + W – GP) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disability transfers | €40,277 | €287,519 | €247,242 | €287,519 | €247,242 | €108,335 | €68,058 |
| Pension costs | €83,110 | €83,110 | €0 | €83,110 | €0 | €83,110 | €0 |
| Health costs | €70,218 | €3,100,534 | €3,030,316 | €1,589,502 | €1,519,284 | €1,589,502 | €1,519,284 |
| Sum of government costs | €193,605 | €3,471,163 | €3,277,558 | €1,960,131 | €1,766,526 | €1,780,947 | €1,587,342 |
| Lifetime earnings | €632,367 | €284,565 | − €347,802 | €284,565 | − €347,802 | €509,141 | − €123,226 |
| Gross tax | €434,722 | €251,535 | − €183,187 | €251,535 | − €183,187 | €369,819 | − €64,903 |
| Work years | 25.24 | 11.36 | − 13.88 | 11.36 | − 13.88 | 20.88 | − 4.36 |
AL-W, AHP attacks throughout life and unable to work
A10-W, AHP attacks for 10 years, stopping at age 40, unable to work due to chronic comorbidities attributed to AHP
A10 + W, AHP attacks for 10 years, stopping at age 40, able to return to work