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. 2021 Jul 23;10:e68812. doi: 10.7554/eLife.68812

Table 2. Predicted hazard of symptomatic malaria across follow-up periods.

1-Month aHR (95% CI) 3-Month aHR (95% CI) 6-Month aHR (95% CI) 12-Month aHR (95% CI) 29-Month aHR (95% CI)
Main exposure
No infection Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
Asymptomatic infection 2.61 (2.05, 3.33) 1.64 (1.40, 1.94) 1.38 (1.20, 1.58) 1.12 (1.00, 1.25) 1.11 (1.01, 1.22)
Age
<5 years Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
5 to 15 years 1.37 (0.90, 2.08) 1.61 (1.00, 2.61) 1.99 (1.07, 3.71) 2.37 (0.97, 5.77) 2.52 (1.26, 5.01)
>15 years 0.56 (0.36, 0.88) 0.74 (0.46, 1.21) 0.83 (0.44, 1.53) 0.88 (0.37, 2.08) 0.97 (0.51, 1.84)
Sex
Male Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
Female 0.93 (0.70, 1.24) 0.84 (0.61, 1.16) 0.80 (0.53, 1.20) 0.68 (0.38, 1.21) 0.63 (0.40, 0.99)
Regular bed net usage*
No Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
Yes 1.00 (0.70, 1.43) 0.81 (0.55, 1.20) 0.70 (0.43, 1.16) 0.59 (0.29, 1.21) 0.52 (0.30, 0.89)
Village
Kinesamo Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
Maruti 1.08 (0.77, 1.52) 1.11 (0.75, 1.64) 1.14 (0.69, 1.88) 1.13 (0.56, 2.31) 1.09 (0.64, 1.85)
Sitabicha 0.72 (0.49, 1.05) 0.80 (0.53, 1.21) 0.76 (0.45, 1.29) 0.73 (0.35, 1.51) 0.70 (0.40, 1.23)

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; aHR, adjusted hazard ratio; Ref, reference.

*Regular bed net usage was defined as a person averaging > 5 nights a week sleeping under a bed net.

Significant estimates are bolded.