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. 2021 Jul 6;10:e66590. doi: 10.7554/eLife.66590

Table 2. Observed (2014) and projected (2065) life expectancy at birth (e0), by country and sex, according to our projection methodology, which takes into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol and the mortality experiences of forerunner countries (‘lifestyle and coherent’); the benchmark Lee–Carter extrapolative mortality projection applied to all-cause mortality (‘Lee–Carter’); and when purely accounting for smoking, obesity, and alcohol (‘adding lifestyle’).

Table 2—source data 1. Data behind Table 2.
Country Men Women
e0 2014 e0 2065 e0 2014 e0 2065
Lee–Carter Adding lifestyle Lifestyle and coherent Lee–Carter Adding lifestyle Lifestyle and coherent
Austria 78.91 88.91 89.02 90.38 83.73 91.42 92.57 92.54
Belgium 78.57 87.76 88.20 90.93 83.52 90.09 92.43 92.98
Czechia 75.72 87.77 87.23 88.86 81.73 90.87 92.28 91.37
Denmark 78.56 87.72 88.48 90.50 82.67 89.66 93.33 93.08
Finland 78.13 88.25 88.30 90.22 83.85 90.90 92.65 92.69
France 79.28 89.11 90.03 91.40 85.44 92.77 94.24 94.01
Germany 78.43 88.36 88.67 90.18 83.35 90.78 92.60 92.62
Greece 78.46 85.07 86.32 90.97 83.83 89.75 90.51 92.44
Hungary 72.26 81.74 85.89 88.64 79.24 87.09 90.21 90.96
Ireland 79.15 89.59 90.57 90.95 83.23 91.67 94.38 93.40
Italy 80.55 89.25 89.14 91.43 85.16 92.30 93.34 93.53
Netherlands 79.87 88.67 88.73 91.11 83.29 88.80 92.59 93.18
Norway 80.03 88.86 90.23 90.87 84.09 90.72 93.48 93.35
Poland 73.66 85.21 88.28 89.37 81.41 90.44 92.74 91.88
Slovenia 77.96 88.68 88.95 89.91 83.69 92.20 93.79 92.60
Sweden 80.35 88.37 89.18 90.64 84.05 89.92 92.27 93.01
Switzerland 80.93 89.77 89.31 90.88 85.11 91.41 92.70 93.16
United Kingdom 79.25 88.99 89.35 91.04 82.99 89.93 92.70 93.34
Average 78.34 87.89 88.66 90.46 83.35 90.59 92.71 92.78
Min 72.26 81.74 85.89 88.64 79.24 87.09 90.21 90.96
Max 80.93 89.77 90.57 91.43 85.44 92.77 94.38 94.01
Variance 4.98 3.77 1.41 0.62 2.02 1.73 1.07 0.55