Table 2. Observed (2014) and projected (2065) life expectancy at birth (e0), by country and sex, according to our projection methodology, which takes into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol and the mortality experiences of forerunner countries (‘lifestyle and coherent’); the benchmark Lee–Carter extrapolative mortality projection applied to all-cause mortality (‘Lee–Carter’); and when purely accounting for smoking, obesity, and alcohol (‘adding lifestyle’).
| Country | Men | Women | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e0 2014 | e0 2065 | e0 2014 | e0 2065 | |||||
| Lee–Carter | Adding lifestyle | Lifestyle and coherent | Lee–Carter | Adding lifestyle | Lifestyle and coherent | |||
| Austria | 78.91 | 88.91 | 89.02 | 90.38 | 83.73 | 91.42 | 92.57 | 92.54 |
| Belgium | 78.57 | 87.76 | 88.20 | 90.93 | 83.52 | 90.09 | 92.43 | 92.98 |
| Czechia | 75.72 | 87.77 | 87.23 | 88.86 | 81.73 | 90.87 | 92.28 | 91.37 |
| Denmark | 78.56 | 87.72 | 88.48 | 90.50 | 82.67 | 89.66 | 93.33 | 93.08 |
| Finland | 78.13 | 88.25 | 88.30 | 90.22 | 83.85 | 90.90 | 92.65 | 92.69 |
| France | 79.28 | 89.11 | 90.03 | 91.40 | 85.44 | 92.77 | 94.24 | 94.01 |
| Germany | 78.43 | 88.36 | 88.67 | 90.18 | 83.35 | 90.78 | 92.60 | 92.62 |
| Greece | 78.46 | 85.07 | 86.32 | 90.97 | 83.83 | 89.75 | 90.51 | 92.44 |
| Hungary | 72.26 | 81.74 | 85.89 | 88.64 | 79.24 | 87.09 | 90.21 | 90.96 |
| Ireland | 79.15 | 89.59 | 90.57 | 90.95 | 83.23 | 91.67 | 94.38 | 93.40 |
| Italy | 80.55 | 89.25 | 89.14 | 91.43 | 85.16 | 92.30 | 93.34 | 93.53 |
| Netherlands | 79.87 | 88.67 | 88.73 | 91.11 | 83.29 | 88.80 | 92.59 | 93.18 |
| Norway | 80.03 | 88.86 | 90.23 | 90.87 | 84.09 | 90.72 | 93.48 | 93.35 |
| Poland | 73.66 | 85.21 | 88.28 | 89.37 | 81.41 | 90.44 | 92.74 | 91.88 |
| Slovenia | 77.96 | 88.68 | 88.95 | 89.91 | 83.69 | 92.20 | 93.79 | 92.60 |
| Sweden | 80.35 | 88.37 | 89.18 | 90.64 | 84.05 | 89.92 | 92.27 | 93.01 |
| Switzerland | 80.93 | 89.77 | 89.31 | 90.88 | 85.11 | 91.41 | 92.70 | 93.16 |
| United Kingdom | 79.25 | 88.99 | 89.35 | 91.04 | 82.99 | 89.93 | 92.70 | 93.34 |
| Average | 78.34 | 87.89 | 88.66 | 90.46 | 83.35 | 90.59 | 92.71 | 92.78 |
| Min | 72.26 | 81.74 | 85.89 | 88.64 | 79.24 | 87.09 | 90.21 | 90.96 |
| Max | 80.93 | 89.77 | 90.57 | 91.43 | 85.44 | 92.77 | 94.38 | 94.01 |
| Variance | 4.98 | 3.77 | 1.41 | 0.62 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.07 | 0.55 |