Table 6.

Effect of Unemployment Rate on Monthly SSDI Claims, Allowances and Denials, by Age Group and SSDI-SSI Concurrent Status.

		By Age Group									By SSDI-SSI Concurrent Status
		Ages 18–39		Ages 40–49		Ages 50–59		Ages 60–64		Difference (50–40 s)	Concurrent	DI Only	Difference (DI-Concurrent)
Claims	Coef.	1,262^***	785^***	1,778^***	631^***	992^***	2,351^***	2,104^***	−247
	SE	(322)		(249)		(347)		(65)		(99)	(390)	(601)	(260)
	Mean DV	36,193		35,591		47,200		16,961			64,026	71,918
	Pct. Change	3.5		2.2		3.8		3.7			3.7	2.9
	Elasticity	0.27		0.17		0.29		0.28			0.28	0.22
Initial Allowances	Coef.	−22		−49		595^**	349^***	643^***	698^**	175	−523^***
	SE	(60)		(65)		(251)		(87)		(186)	(278)	(184)	(111)
	Mean DV	6,447		7,609		22,003		10,568			28,915	17,713
	Pct. Change	−0.3		−0.6		2.7		3.3			2.4	1.0
	Elasticity	−0.03		−0.05		0.21		0.25			0.18	0.08
Initial Denials	Coef.	1,284^***	833^***	1,183^***	282^***	349^***	1,653^***	1,929^***	276
	SE	(266)		(190)		(116)		(35)		(95)	(131)	(424)	(305)
	Mean DV	29,746		27,982		25,197		6,393			35,112	54,206
	Pct. Change	4.3		3.0		4.7		4.4			4.7	3.6
	Elasticity	0.33		0.23		0.36		0.34			0.36	0.27
Total Allowances	Coef.	151^*	177^*	1,084^***	447^***	906^***	1,277^***	583^**	−693^***
	SE	(88)		(99)		(288)		(83)		(188)	(316)	(250)	(127)
	Mean DV	11,913		16,586		32,754		12,498			42,578	31,173
	Pct. Change	1.3		1.1		3.3		3.6			3.0	1.9
	Elasticity	0.10		0.08		0.25		0.27			0.23	0.14
Total Denials	Coef.	1,111^***	607^***	693^***	184^***	86		1,074^***	1,521^***	447^*
	SE	(237)		(155)		(78)		(29)		(94)	(96)	(357)	(267)
	Mean DV	24,279		19,006		14,446		4,463			21,449	40,745
	Pct. Change	4.6		3.2		4.8		4.1			5.0	3.7
	Elasticity	0.35		0.24		0.37		0.31			0.38	0.28

Notes:

^***

Significant at the 1% level.

^**

Significant at the 5% level.

Significant at the 10% level. Each group of figures presents regression estimates for a different outcome. In all models, N = 3825 state-month observations of the number of SSDI claims filed that resulted in a given outcome. Coef. refers to the coefficient on the number unemployed multiplied by the number of workers equivalent to one percent of the national labor force, and thus indicates the number of additional applications of a given outcome type induced by a one-point increase in the unemployment rate. Mean DV, the mean of each dependent variable, gives the average monthly claims of a given outcome type. Percent change is the Coef./Mean DV, or the percent change in the outcome.