Table A6.

Effects of Unemployment Rate on Initial Claims, Denials, Appellate Claims, and Outcomes on Appeal, by Primary Diagnosis.

								Among Initial Denials
		Initial Claims (1)		Initial Allowances (2)		Initial Denials (3)		No Appeal (4)		Allowance (5)		Denial (6)	Dismissal (7)
A. Effect of Unemployment Rate
Musculoskeletal	Coef.	1,785**	463**	1,322***	381***	459***	397***	86***
	SE	(345)		(181)		(171)		(41)		(48)		(76)	(21)
	Mean DV	43,423		12,228		31,196		11,731		11,515		6,149	1,800
	Pct. Change	4.1		3.8		4.2		3.2		4.0		6.5	4.8
Mental	Coef.	992***	−52		1,044***	459***	222***	282***	81***
	SE	(241)		(99)		(147)		(60)		(28)		(54)	(15)
	Mean DV	27,059		8,706		18,353		8,960		4,307		3,758	1,328
	Pct. Change	3.7		-0.6		5.7		5.1		5.2		7.5	6.1
Circulatory	Coef.	352**	124*	227***	78***	69***	68***	13*
	SE	(132)		(62)		(73)		(24)		(19)		(26)	(7)
	Mean DV	12,592		5,578		7,014		2,955		2,530		1,158	371
	Pct. Change	2.8		2.2		3.2		2.6		2.7		5.9	3.5
Neoplasms	Coef.	184***	136***	49***	17***	18***	12***	2**
	SE	(22)		(25)		(7)		(5)		(3)		(2)	(1)
	Mean DV	9,011		7,075		1,936		926		680		250	80
	Pct. Change	2.0		1.9		2.5		1.8		2.6		4.9	2.0
Other	Coef.	1,142***	203**	940***	331***	218***	297***	94***
	SE	(256)		(100)		(168)		(63)		(22)		(72)	(21)
	Mean DV	43,859		13,041		30,819		15,524		8,091	5,406	1,798
	Pct. Change	2.6		1.6		3.0		2.1		2.7		5.5	5.2
B. Primary Diagnosis Percent of Induced Claims
Musculoskeletal		100.0		25.9***	74.1***
				(5.2)		(5.2)
Mental		100.0		−5.3		105.2***
				(11.1)		(11.1)
Circulatory		100.0		35.3***	64.7***
				(5.7)		(5.7)
Neoplasms		100.0		73.7***	26.3***
				(5.8)		(5.8)
Other		100.0		17.8***	82.3***
				(5.2)		(5.2)
C. Primary Diagnosis Percent of Induced Initial Denials
Musculoskeletal						100.0		28.8***	34.7***	30.0***	6.5***
								(1.3)		(1.8)		(2.0)	(1.2)
Mental						100.0		44.0***	21.3***	27.0***	7.8***
								(1.6)		(1.7)		(1.4)	(0.6)
Circulatory						100.0		34.3***	30.3***	29.8***	5.6***
								(2.1)		(2.2)		(2.7)	(1.8)
Neoplasms						100.0		34.4***	37.0***	25.2***	3.3**
								(6.4)		(3.1)		(4.9)	(1.5)
Other						100.0		35.2***	23.2***	31.6***	10.0***
								(1.8)		(2.3)		(2.6)	(0.9)

Notes:

^***Significant at the 1% level.

^**Significant at the 5% level.

^*Significant at the 10% level. Each group of figures presents regression estimates for a different outcome. In all models, N = 3825 state-month observations of the number of SSDI claims filed that resulted in a given outcome. Coef. refers to the coefficient on the number unemployed multiplied by the number of workers equivalent to one percent of the national labor force, and thus indicates the number of additional applications of a give outcome type induced by a one-point increase in the unemployment rate. Mean DV, the mean of each dependent variable, gives the average monthly claims of a given outcome type. Percent change is the Coef./Mean DV, or the percent change in the outcome.