Table 1.
Therapeutic class | Medicare Part D spending | Average discount | Base-case analysis (n = 80) | Sensitivity analyses excluding drugs with missing discount information (n = 60) | Sensitivity analyses reducing discount by 25% (n = 80) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimated Part D discounts | Proportion of total Medicare Part D discounts | Estimated Part D discounts | Proportion of total Medicare Part D discounts | Estimated Part D discounts | Proportion of total Medicare Part D discounts | |||
Insulins | $12.3Bn | 60% | $7.1Bn | 24% | $7.1Bn | 24% | $5.3Bn | 18% |
Inhalers | $9.0Bn | 59% | $5.3Bn | 18% | $3.6Bn | 12% | $4.0Bn | 14% |
Non-Insulin antidiabetics | $6.6Bn | 55% | $3.5Bn | 12% | $3.5Bn | 12% | $2.6Bn | 9% |
Hepatitis C direct-acting antivirals | $6.4Bn | 60% | $3.5Bn | 12% | $3.1Bn | 11% | $2.3Bn | 8% |
Direct-acting oral anticoagulants | $5.0Bn | 36% | $1.6Bn | 6% | $1.4Bn | 5% | $1.2Bn | 4% |
TNF Inhibitors | $4.1Bn | 24% | $1.0Bn | 3% | $1.0Bn | 3% | $0.7Bn | 2% |
Total | $43.0Bn | $22.0Bn | 76% | $19.7Bn | 68% | $16.2Bn | 55% |
As described in the “METHODS” section, gross spending was extracted from the Medicare Part D spending dashboard.6 Average discount data was obtained from SSR Health and includes not only rebates from manufacturers to payers but also any other manufacturer concession. Estimated Part D discounts were calculated as the product between gross spending and the average discount. The proportion of total Medicare discounts was estimated as the quotient between the estimated discount for a given class and $29 billion (total manufacturer discounts in Medicare Part D in 2016).3 In sensitivity analyses, we reduced estimates of discounts by 25% (relative difference). For instance, if the estimated discount for a drug in SSR Health data was 66%, we performed sensitivity analyses using 49.5% (75% of 66%) as the estimate