Table 1.
Indicators | Observed coverages in percent(95% CI) | Predicted coverages in percent(95% CrI) | AAPC from 2000-2030(95% CrI) | Probability reach target (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year 2000 | Year 2014 | Year 2020 | Year 2030 | |||
Prevention Indicators | ||||||
At least one ANC visit | 69•6 (65•7 to 73•3) | 94•5 (93•3 to 95•6) | 97•3 (96•6 to 98•0) | 99•2 (98•7 to 99•5) | 0•7 (0•6 to 0•8) | 100•0 |
At least four ANC visit | 29•6 (27•2 to 32•1)† | 69•9 (67•5 to 72•2) | 83•6 (81•4 to 85•6) | 95•4 (94•0 to 96•4) | 2•4 (2•3 to 2•5) | 100•0 |
Exclusive breastfeeding | 18•1 (14•1 to 22•9) | 20•7 (17•1 to 24•9) | 21•6 (16•5 to 27•2) | 26•3 (16•7 to 37•7) | 0•4 (0•0 to 0•9) | 0•0 |
Early initiation of breastfeeding | 59.8 (57.2 to 62.4)† | 41.6 (39.2 to 44.2) | 39.5 (36.2 to 42.7) | 33.1 (28.0 to 38.6) | -0.7 (-0.9 to -0.4) | 0.0 |
Family planning needs satisfied | 72•4 (71•1 to 73•8)† | 62•5 (61•2 to 63•8) | 56•9 (55•0 to 58•7) | 47•4 (43•8 to 51•0) | -0•9 (-1•0 to -0•7) | 0•0 |
BCG immunization | 86•2 (83•1 to 88•9) | 95•5 (93•9 to 96•8) | 95•9 (94•3 to 97•1) | 97•8 (96•2 to 98•8) | 0•4 (0•3 to 0•5) | 100•0 |
DPT3 immunization | 50•2 (46•0 to 54•4) | 75•9 (72•8 to 78•8) | 70•8 (66•8 to 74•4) | 76•5 (70•3 to 81•7) | 0•6 (0•4 to 0•9) | 10•1 |
Polio3 immunization | 50•4 (46•2 to 54•6) | 84•3 (81•6 to 86•7) | 73•7 (69•9 to 77•1) | 80•7 (75•3 to 85•2) | 0•8 (0•6 to 1•1) | 61•4 |
Measles immunization | 69•1 (65•1 to 72•9) | 81•9 (79•1 to 84•4) | 79•0 (75•3 to 82•4) | 81•6 (75•7 to 86•4) | 0•3 (0•0 to 0•5) | 70•8 |
Full immunization | 35•1 (31•2 to 39•2) | 67•3 (63•9 to 70•5) | 61•0 (56•7 to 65•1) | 68•6 (61•4 to 74•7) | 0•8 (0•5 to 1•1) | 0•0 |
Improved Water | 68•7 (68•3 to 69•2) | 91•9 (91•6 to 92•1) | 95•2 (95•1 to 95•4) | 98•2 (98•1 to 98•3) | 0•8 (0•8 to 0•8) | 100•0 |
Adequate sanitation | 39•5 (39•0 to 40•0) | 80•4 (80•0 to 80•8) | 88•3 (88•0 to 88•6) | 95•1 (94•9 to 95•3) | 1•4 (1•4 to 1•4) | 100•0 |
Treatment Indicators | ||||||
Institutional delivery | 79•6 (77•4 to 81•7)† | 91•1 (89•5 to 92•4) | 94•3 (93•1 to 95•4) | 97•6 (96•6 to 98•4) | 0•8 (0•7 to 0•9) | 100•0 |
Skilled birth attendance | 61•3 (57•1 to 65•3) | 92•2 (90•7 to 93•4) | 94•9 (93•8 to 95•8) | 98•1 (97•4 to 98•7) | 0•9 (0•8 to 1•0) | 100•0 |
Care seeking for pneumonia | 62•6 (57•2 to 67•7) | 86•6 (79•6 to 91•5) | 89•0 (82•9 to 93•3) | 93•8 (87•0 to 97•2) | 0•8 (0•5 to 1•0) | 99•9 |
ARI treatment | 50•3 (43•3 to 57•2)‡ | 82•7 (75•2 to 88•3) | 91•5 (84•9 to 95•6) | 98•4 (94•8 to 99•6) | 2•4 (1•9 to 2•8) | 100•0 |
Oral rehydration therapy | 54•2 (49•0 to 59•4) | 30•0 (25•2 to 35•3) | 21•9 (17•2 to 27•3) | 11•7 (7•4 to 17•7) | -1•5 (-1•7 to -1•2) | 0•0 |
Composite Indicators | ||||||
Composite Prevention | 54•6 (48•9 to 60•2) | 77•1 (72•8 to 80•9) | 78•6 (74•0 to 82•8) | 85•4 (79•0 to 90•1) | 0•9 (0•6 to 1•1) | 95•3 |
Composite Treatment | 59•5 (54•1 to 64•7) | 78•7 (70•8 to 85•0) | 82•1 (74•9 to 88•1) | 88•4 (79•3 to 94•1) | 0•9 (0•5 to 1•2) | 96•5 |
Composite Coverage | 55•6 (49•9 to 61•2) | 78•0 (70•0 to 84•3) | 80•6 (72•9 to 86•4) | 87•6 (77•8 to 93•4) | 1•0 (0•5 to 1•3) | 93•9 |
Notes: The WHO's targets for Universal Health Coverage are by 2030 at least 80% health-services coverage for the entire population of a country, regardless of wealth status, place of residence or gender; † Data in the year 2002 was used due to unavailable data for 2000; ‡ Data in the year 2006 was used due to the unavailable data for 2000; AAPC=Average annual percentage change; ANC=Antenatal care; DPT=Three doses of diphtheria, pertussis, tetanus vaccine; BCG=Bacillus Calmette–Guérin vaccine; Polio3=Three doses of polio vaccine; ARI=Acute Respiratory Infections; The observed coverages during 2000–2014 were calculated based on the original datasets.