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. 2021 Mar 26;6(1):e20.00128. doi: 10.2106/JBJS.OA.20.00128

TABLE V.

Tier as Predicted by Different Models Using Change in ASES Score Beyond 2-Year-Range Follow-up

Class*
A B C
Model 1 predicted tier
 Probability
  p(A) 0.94 0.04 0.04
  p(B) 0.05 0.95 0.03
  p(C) 0.02 0.01 0.94
 Sensitivity 0.91 0.94 0.98
Model 2 predicted tier
 Probability
  p(A) 0.93 0.16 0.14
  p(B) 0.06 0.80 0.13
  p(C) 0.01 0.03 0.73
 Sensitivity 0.57 0.81 0.96
Model 3 predicted tier
 Probability
  p(A) 0.77 0.17 0.06
  p(B) 0.18 0.72 0.10
  p(C) 0.13 0.16 0.71
 Sensitivity 0.6 0.72 0.86
*

Classes are separated by pre- to postoperative improvement in ASES total score, where Class A represents an improvement of ≤28 points, Class B represents an improvement of 29 to 55 points, and Class C represents an improvement of >55 points.