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. 2021 Aug 9;6(8):e006422. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006422

Table 2.

Correlation between the standardised mortality rates for COVID-19 in the European Union/European Economic Area countries plus the UK and Switzerland and selected indicators

Variable First wave
Spearman’s rho correlation (95% CI)
P value Subsequent waves Spearman’s rho correlation (95% CI) P value P value of the difference between first and subsequent waves
HDI 0.41 (0.14 to 0.68) 0.02 −0.67 (−0.87 to −0.46) <0.0001 0.000003
Life expectancy at birth 0.46 (0.14 to 0.77) 0.01 −0.56 (−0.79 to −0.33) 0.001 0.00002
Poverty and social exclusion 0.04 (−0.32 to 0.41) 0.82 0.25 (−0.15 to 0.66) 0.17 0.42
HLY 0.36 (−0.02 to 0.73) 0.05 −0.20 (−0.54 to 0.13) 0.27 0.03
Density 0.33 (−0.03 to 0.68) 0.07 0.17 (−0.24 to 0.57) 0.37 0.52
Urbanisation 0.30 (−0.06 to 0.67) 0.10 −0.51 (−0.77 to −0.24) 0.004 0.0011
Hospital beds* −0.28 (−0.62 to 0.06) 0.13
ICU beds* −0.16 (−0.48 to 0.15) 0.38
Healthcare expenditure 0.49 (0.22 to 0.76) 0.005 −0.47 (−0.70 to −0.24) 0.008 0.00009
Stringency Index 0.40 (0.09 to 0.70) 0.03 −0.03 (−0.40 to 0.33) 0.85 0.09
Mobility retail and recreation −0.51 (−0.86 to −0.15) 0.005 −0.31 (−0.68 to 0.06) 0.10 0.38
Mobility transit −0.66 (−0.90 to −0.43) 0.0001 0.50 (0.17 to 0.83) 0.006 0.000001
Mobility outdoor −0.40 (−0.72 to −0.07) 0.03 −0.37 (−0.72 to −0.03) 0.05 0.90
Total tests per 1000 0.16 (−0.22 to 0.54) 0.42 −0.24(−0.63 to 0.16) 0.22 0.15
New tests per 1000 0.24 (−0.16 to 0.64) 0.22 −0.25 (−0.69 to 0.20) 0.22 0.94
Tourism 0.52 (0.21 to 0.83) 0.004 0.07 (−0.29 to 0.44) 0.71 0.07

Bold values denote statistical significance at the p 0.005 level.

*Data were not available for the subsequent waves.

HDI, Human Development Index; HLY, healthy life years; ICU, intensive care units.