Table 3.

Transition probability.

Status			Base value	Minimum	Max	Distribution	References
Stable-	Non-severe	FF/UMEC/VI	0.1195	0.1076	0.13145	Beta: α 338 β 2,492	(14)
		BUD/FOR	0.1563	0.1407	0.17193	Beta: α 324 β 1,749	(14)
	Severe	FF/UMEC/VI	0.0148	0.0133	0.01628	Beta: α 4 β 251	(14)
		BUD/FOR	0.0264	0.0238	0.02904	Beta: α 374 β 13,793	(14)
	Death		P_D: Natural mortality
Non-severe-	Stable		0.5345	0.4811	0.58795	Beta: α 178 β 155	(14)
	Severe		0.4655-P_D
	Death		P_D: Natural mortality
Severe-	Severe		1-P_D
	Death		0.0770	0.0693	0.0847	Beta: α 354 β 4,250	(17)