Table 5.

Estimated coefficients of Poisson regression model for postal-code level COVID-19 incidence. Standard errors in parentheses. The p-values associated with each coefficient are less than 1 × 10⁻¹⁵.

daily COVID-19 incidence within postal code
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
lagged total transport spending	0.036***
	(0.0004)
lagged total car spending		0.070***
		(0.0007)
lagged urban transport spending			0.125***
			(0.0021)
lagged urban transport + car spending				0.051***
				(0.0006)
lockdown indicator	1.637***	1.658***	1.461***	1.634***
	(0.0178)	(0.0177)	(0.0177)	(0.0177)
lagged daily incidence	0.023***	0.023***	0.026***	0.028***
	(0.0002)	(0.0002)	(0.0002)	(0.0002)
postal code F.E.	Y	Y	Y	Y
N	26 784	26 784	26 784	26 784