Table 3. Estimated Relative Risk of Pertussis Comparing Children Who Were Undervaccinated or Vaccinated With Delay With Those Who Received Age-Appropriate and Timely DTaP Vaccine Using Log-Binomial Models.
| Model | Cohort | Cohort size | Start follow-up time, mo | End follow-up time, mo | PT at risk in exposed, mo | PT at risk in unexposed, mo | Cases exposeda | Cases unexposedb | aRR (95% CI)c | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary series | ||||||||||
| Undervaccinated with or without delay vs age-appropriate and timely vaccination | Children ≥7 mo | 298 166 | 7 | 19 | 949 469.4 | 2 671 653 | 54 | 31 | 4.8 (3.1-7.6) | |
| Delayed vs timely doses among those with age-appropriate vaccination | Children ≥7 mo who received ≥3 doses | 257 913 | 7 | 19 | 492 272.2 | 2 671 653 | 5 | 31 | 0.8 (0.3-2.2) | |
| First booster | ||||||||||
| Undervaccinated with or without delay vs age-appropriate and timely vaccination | Children ≥19 mo | 258 675 | 19 | 60 | 2 598 849 | 5 360 429 | 99 | 59 | 3.2 (2.3-4.5) | |
| Delayed vs timely doses among those with age-appropriate vaccination | Children ≥19 mo who received ≥4 doses | 221 928 | 19 | 60 | 1 732 007 | 5 360 429 | 17 | 59 | 0.8 (0.5-1.4) | |
| Second booster | ||||||||||
| Undervaccinated with or without delay vs age-appropriate and timely vaccination | Children ≥60 mo | 134 950 | 60 | Age censored /end of study | 1 327 522 | 2 664 899 | 38 | 17 | 4.6 (2.6-8.2) | |
| Delayed vs timely doses among age-appropriately vaccinated | Children ≥60 mo or older who received ≥5 doses | 111 387 | 60 | Age censored/end of study | 580 387.7 | 2 664 899 | 5 | 17 | 1.3 (0.5-3.6) | |
| Series initiation | ||||||||||
| Undervaccinated with or without delay dose 1 vs age-appropriate and timely vaccination for primary series | Children ≥3 mo | 301 494 | 3 | 12 | 579 975.3 | 3 006 319 | 38 | 54 | 3.5 (2.3-5.5) | |
| Delayed vs timely dose 1 among age-appropriately vaccinated for primary series | Children ≥3 mo who received 3 doses by 7 mo of age | 295 325 | 3 | 12 | 64 926.5 | 2 555 811 | 0 | 41 | NA | |
| 3p vs 2p + 1 scheduled | Children ≥3 mo | 301 494 | 3 | 24 | 4 870 512 | 307 677.8 | 1 | 60 | 3.9 (0.5-28.8) | |
Abbreviations: aRR, adjusted relative risk; DTaP, diphtheria-tetanus–acellular pertussis; PT, person-time.
Exposed group: undervaccination with or without vaccination delay for models assessing effect of undervaccination on pertussis risk and vaccination delay for models assessing effect of vaccination delay only on pertussis risk.
Unexposed group: age-appropriate and timely vaccination with DTaP vaccine.
Adjusted relative risk are risk ratios adjusted for age and Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status score.
The term “3p” indicates accelerated 3-dose DTaP primary series to be administered at ages 2, 4, and 6 months; “2p + 1” indicates long 3-dose DTaP primary series to be administered at ages 2, 4, and 11/12 months; 2p + 1 is the exposed group.