Table 2.
Selection of Variables for Histologic Patterns in the Training Set
Recurrence |
Death |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
Variables in the Model | C-Index | AUC | C-Index | AUC |
| ||||
Baseline | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.673 |
Baseline + predominant pattern | 0.698 | 0.719 | 0.727 | 0.729 |
Baseline + predominant pattern + secondary pattern | 0.742 | 0.765 | 0.764 | 0.760 |
Baseline + predominant pattern + high-grade pattern | 0.740 | 0.749 | 0.758 | 0.741 |
Baseline + predominant pattern + high-grade pattern (20% cutoff) | 0.732 | 0.749 | 0.732 | 0.787 |
Baseline + weighted average | 0.698 | 0.719 | 0.742 | 0.733 |
Baseline + pattern 1 + pattern 2 + pattern 3 (binary)a | 0.726 | 0.734 | 0.732 | 0.714 |
Baseline + pattern 1 + pattern 2 + pattern 3 (numeric)a | 0.733 | 0.742 | 0.746 | 0.735 |
Baseline + all 7 patterns (binary)a | 0.744 | 0.756 | 0.754 | 0.757 |
Baseline + all 7 patterns (numeric)a | 0.745 | 0.755 | 0.759 | 0.747 |
Baseline model represent clinical characteristics only.
Patterns 1 to 3 indicate the following three-tiered classification of predominant pattern in the tumor: pattern 1, lepidic; pattern 2, acinar or papillary; pattern 3, micropapillary, solid, or complex glandular pattern (cribriform and fused glands). All seven patterns indicate that all patterns present in the tumor are individually counted. Binary represents presence or absence of patterns but assigned a number (1–3) as described previously. Numeric indicates that the numerical proportion of that pattern was taken into consideration.
AUC, area under the ROC curve; C-index, concordance index; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.