Fig. 4.

The impact of different scenarios about conditions for school reopening on A) cumulative infections and B) cumulative deaths in Indiana between August 24 and December 31. Scenarios are defined by school operating capacity (x-axis) and face-mask adherence in schools (shading). Orange lines represent projections under a scenario of school reopening at full capacity without masks (solid: median; dotted: 95 % posterior predictive interval). Blue lines represent a scenario where schools operate remotely. Error bars indicate inter-quartile ranges.