Skip to main content
. 2021 May 28;118(21):357–362. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.m2021.0129

Table 2. Liver cancer risk due to use of potentially NDMA-contaminated valsartan drug products compared with uncontaminated valsartan.

Hazard ratio [95% CI]*1 Sample size/ Cancer cases
Exposure to NDMA-contaminated valsartan
 No exposure 1.00 (ref) 354 628/444
 Exposure 1.16 [1.03; 1.31] 385 167/736
Exposure in dose categories
 0 to ≤ 90 DDD 1.15 [0.98; 1.34] 122 479/244
 > 90 to ≤ 170 DDD 1.19 [1.02; 1.40] 136 734/248
 > 170 DDD 1.13 [0.97; 1.33] 125 954/244
NDMA exposure
 Possible (contaminated valsartan batches < 75%) 1.18 [1.01; 1.39] 104 433/232
 Probable (contaminated valsartan batches ≥ 75%) 1.15 [1.01; 1.31] 280 734/504
Long-term valsartan use*2
 No exposure 1.00 (ref) 61 236/102
 Exposure 1.22 [0.80; 1.89] 13 876/28
Incidence rate per 100 000 person-years*3
No exposure 34.61
Exposure 39.08

*1 Lag time 1 year, fully adjusted for sex; age; polypharmacy (defined as prescription of five or more different drugs); prescription of low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (ASA), non-ASA non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, 5α-reductase inhibitors, statins, spironolactone, glucocorticoids for systemic use, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, and hormone replacement therapy; the comorbidities diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, and alcohol-related diseases; the Charlson comorbidity index (score); and prevalent valsartan use

*2 Long-term valsartan use is defined as valsartan prescription in at least nine quarters within the first 3 years of the study period.

*3 Standardized to the German population over 40 years in 2011 (e2)

DDD, Defined daily dose; NDMA, N-nitrosodimethylamine; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval