Fig. 2. Predicting information integration.

a,b, Correlation between model predictions and child inference data for all 24 conditions and for each age group (binned by year) for the rational-integration model (a) and the three lesioned models (b). Horizontal and vertical error bars show 95% HDI. Inset in a shows an example of model predictions as developmental trajectories (Fig. 3). BF₁₀ gives the Bayes factor in favour of the integration model based on the marginal likelihood of the data under each model. c, Predictions from all models considered alongside the data (with 95% HDI) for two experimental conditions (familiar word: “duck”).