Table 3.
Clinical Indexes for Predicting Outcomes in Patients with DLBCL.*
| Prognostic Index, Clinical Factors, and Risk Categories | Proportion of Patients | Estimated 5-yr PFS | Estimated 5-yr OS |
|---|---|---|---|
| percent | |||
| IPI | |||
| Age, >60 yr; LDH, >ULN; Ann Arbor stage III or IV; ECOG performance status, >1; no. of extranodal sites of disease, >1 | |||
| Risk categories | |||
| Low (0 or 1 factor) | 34 | 81 | 88 |
| Low-intermediate (2 factors) | 23 | 67 | 76 |
| High-intermediate (3 factors) | 23 | 58 | 67 |
| High (4 or 5 factors) | 20 | 46 | 54 |
| R-IPI | |||
| Age, >60 yr; LDH, >ULN; Ann Arbor stage III or IV; ECOG performance status, >1; no. of extranodal sites of disease, >1 | |||
| Risk categories | |||
| Very good (0 factors) | 9 | 87 | 93 |
| Good (1 or 2 factors) | 48 | 74 | 81 |
| Poor (3–5 factors) | 43 | 53 | 61 |
| NCCN-IPI | |||
| Age, >40 to ≤60 yr (1 point), >60 to ≤75 yr (2 points), >75 yr (3 points); LDH ratio, >1 to ≤3 (1 point), >3 (2 points); Ann Arbor stage III or IV (1 point); ECOG performancestatus score, ≥2 (1 point); extranodal disease: lymphoma involvement in bone marrow, CNS, liver or GI tract, or lung (1 point) | |||
| Risk categories | |||
| Low (0 or 1 point) | 13 | 86 | 92 |
| Low-intermediate (2 or 3 points) | 41 | 75 | 84 |
| High-intermediate (4 or 5 points) | 36 | 54 | 63 |
| High (6–8 points) | 10 | 43 | 49 |
The three commonly used clinical prognostic indexes established over the past 30 years are based on the most discriminating clinical variables.25,27,28 The 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) estimates are derived from a large international collaboration involving 2124 patients with DLBCL who were treated between 1998 and 2009 with frontline rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) or a variant in seven multicenter, randomized clinical trials.26 An age-adjusted International Prognostic Index (IPI), for patients who are 60 years of age or younger, has been designed that has only three factors: stage, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, and performance status.25 A stage-modified IPI, designed for patients with limited-stage disease, has four factors: age (>60 years), stage (I or II), LDH level, and performance status.29 Other clinical factors associated with a poor outcome have been identified, but many have not retained prognostic significance in multivariable models including the presence of B symptoms, largest tumor diameter (≥7.5 cm or, more commonly, ≥10 cm used as a threshold), elevated serum β2-microglobulin level, low hemoglobin and serum albumin levels, and bone marrow involvement (although concordant bone marrow involvement with large B cells present has been shown to be an independent factor in some studies20). Recently, baseline total metabolic tumor volume, assessed with 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography and computed tomography, has been identified as a potentially independent prognostic measure.19 ECOG denotes Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, GI gastrointestinal, NCCN-IPI National Comprehensive Cancer Network IPI, R-IPI Revised IPI, and ULN upper limit of the normal range.