Table 1.
Epidemiological evidence on the impacts of climate change on vector borne disease in Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH).
| Study region | Study period | Disease | Findings | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhutan | 2016–2019 | Dengue | Dengue cases increased by 63% (95% CI: 49, 77%) for a 1°C increase in maximum temperature. | Tsheten et al., 2020 |
| India (including the northern Himalayas) | N/A | Malaria | Areas of the western Himalayan states are likely to have new foci for malaria transmission. | Sarkar et al., 2019 |
| China | 2005–2014 | Malaria | The distribution of malaria is expected to increase in most regions regardless of the climate scenarios. | Hundessa et al., 2018 |
| Nepal (including high Himalayan region) | N/A | Dengue | Under the different climate change scenarios, the vulnerability of dengue in Nepal will be shifted toward higher elevation with varied magnitude and spatial patterns. | Acharya et al., 2018 |
| China (multi cities including mountainous provinces) | 2005–2014 | Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome | A 1°C increase in maximum temperature resulted in 1.6% increase in HFRS. Similarly, 1mm increase of weekly precipitation was associated with 0.2% increase in HFRS. | Xiang et al., 2018 |
| China (Yunnan province) | 2005–2010 | Malaria | A 1°C increase in minimum temperature was associated with increased risk (RR = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01, 1.05) of P. vivax malaria at lag 7 weeks. | Bi et al., 2013 |
| Bangladesh (Hilly district) | 2009–2012 | Malaria | Malaria incidence was positively associated with rainfall (R2 = 0.252; p = 0.007) and minimum temperature (R2 = 0.203; p = 0.016). | Ahmed et al., 2013 |
| Nepal (Morang and Kailali Districts) | 2007–2011 | Malaria | A 1°C increase in minimum and mean temperatures increased malaria incidence by 27% (RR = 1.27, 95% CI = 1.12–1.45) and 25% (RR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.11–1.43), respectively. | Dhimal et al., 2014b |