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. 2021 Aug 6;12:651189. doi: 10.3389/fphys.2021.651189

Table 1.

Epidemiological evidence on the impacts of climate change on vector borne disease in Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH).

Study region Study period Disease Findings References
Bhutan 2016–2019 Dengue Dengue cases increased by 63% (95% CI: 49, 77%) for a 1°C increase in maximum temperature. Tsheten et al., 2020
India (including the northern Himalayas) N/A Malaria Areas of the western Himalayan states are likely to have new foci for malaria transmission. Sarkar et al., 2019
China 2005–2014 Malaria The distribution of malaria is expected to increase in most regions regardless of the climate scenarios. Hundessa et al., 2018
Nepal (including high Himalayan region) N/A Dengue Under the different climate change scenarios, the vulnerability of dengue in Nepal will be shifted toward higher elevation with varied magnitude and spatial patterns. Acharya et al., 2018
China (multi cities including mountainous provinces) 2005–2014 Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome A 1°C increase in maximum temperature resulted in 1.6% increase in HFRS. Similarly, 1mm increase of weekly precipitation was associated with 0.2% increase in HFRS. Xiang et al., 2018
China (Yunnan province) 2005–2010 Malaria A 1°C increase in minimum temperature was associated with increased risk (RR = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01, 1.05) of P. vivax malaria at lag 7 weeks. Bi et al., 2013
Bangladesh (Hilly district) 2009–2012 Malaria Malaria incidence was positively associated with rainfall (R2 = 0.252; p = 0.007) and minimum temperature (R2 = 0.203; p = 0.016). Ahmed et al., 2013
Nepal (Morang and Kailali Districts) 2007–2011 Malaria A 1°C increase in minimum and mean temperatures increased malaria incidence by 27% (RR = 1.27, 95% CI = 1.12–1.45) and 25% (RR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.11–1.43), respectively. Dhimal et al., 2014b