Fig. 3.

Social interaction parameter$\rho \left(\mathbf{t}\right)$and effective reproduction number${\mathbf{R}}_{\mathbf{eff}}\left(\mathbf{t}\right)$for each country. Panels A, C, E: social interaction parameter $\rho \left(t\right)$, manual and Bayesian estimates for Luxembourg, Austria and Sweden. Dates of change and parameter values are reported in Appendix Table F.3 for Luxembourg, Table F.4 for Austria and Table F.5 for Sweden. Panels B, D, F: effective reproduction number $R_{\mathit{eff}}\left(t\right)$, computed from Appendix Eq. C.2, corresponding to the values of the social interaction parameter for Luxembourg, Austria and Sweden, from their manually calibrated parameter sets.