Fig. J.3.

Posterior probability distributions from MCMC for each parameter, compared with priors and with manual fits, for each country and wave. Luxembourg (A: 1st wave, B: 2nd wave, C: 3rd wave), Austria (D: 1st wave, E: 2nd wave) and Sweden (F: 1st wave, G: 2nd wave). For each parameter, prior probability distributions are reported as gray areas, while the posteriors are reported by means of their $50\%$ (blue) and $90\%$ (cyan) credible intervals, with their maxima reported as large blue dots and their means as red squares. The parameter values for the manual fit (Table H.6 for probabilities and rates, Table F.3, Table F.4, Table F.5 for ${\rho }_n$) are reported as green small circles.