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. 2021 Aug 21;29:104631. doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104631

Table 3.

Criteria of the OLSEs in the univariate HAR( $p$ ) model on recovery rate $R R_{t}$ and fatality rate $F R_{t}$ .

		$R R_{t}$
		RMSE	MAE		$R^{2}$	AIC	BIC
$p = 2$		1.531 (0.04866)	0.535 (0.0169)		1.00	1196	1203
$p = 3$		1.546 (0.04847)	0.550 (0.0174)		1.00	1178	1190
$p = 4$		1.525 (0.04795)^a	0.524 (0.0166)^a		1.00	1146^a	1161^a

		$F R_{t}$
		RMSE	MAE		$R^{2}$	AIC	BIC

$p = 2$		0.0446 (0.06454)^a	0.0144 (0.02078)^a		0.999	−1088^a	−1081^a
$p = 3$		0.0451 (0.06525)	0.0148 (0.02138)		0.999	−1056	−1045
$p = 4$		0.0449 (0.06506)	0.0145 (0.02094)		0.999	−1032	−1017

Values in the parentheses indicate the errors divided by standard deviation.

^a

Denotes the best.