Table 3.

Posterior means and 95% Bayesian credibility interval for $\mathbf{\Theta }$.

Parameter	Estimate	SE	95% Credible Interval
			Lower	Upper
${\beta }_0$	27.4141	0.0440	27.3283	27.4996
$\pi$	0.2636	0.0142	0.2368	0.2917
${\theta }_0$	− 0.0915	0.3160	− 0.1563	− 0.0320
${\alpha }_1$ (Injury)	0.2965	0.1038	0.0554	0.4768
${\alpha }_2$ (Stomach Cramps)	0.1682	0.0585	0.0567	0.2835
${\alpha }_3$ (Tender Breasts)	− 0.1540	0.0457	− 0.2443	− 0.0624
${\alpha }_4$ (Flow Amount: Heavy)	− 0.0816	0.0861	− 0.2492	0.0882
${\alpha }_5$ (Flow Amount: Medium)	0.0290	0.0196	− 0.0094	0.0675
${\alpha }_6$ (Flow Amount: Light)	− 0.1320	0.0560	− 0.2414	− 0.0239
${\alpha }_7$ (Flow Amount: Spotting)	0.0589	0.0712	− 0.0792	0.2012
${\alpha }_8$ (Flow Amount: None)	0.0093	0.0208	− 0.0314	0.0492
${\sigma }_{\eta }$	1.0417	0.0231	0.9971	1.0875
${\sigma }_w$	4.7803	0.1096	4.5738	5.0007
${\sigma }_{ϵ}$	1.5407	0.0449	1.4504	1.6259