Table 4b.
Classification Statistics: TOMM Trial 2 Performance for Single and Two-variable Models Predicting Simulator (SIM) and Healthy Comparison (HC) Group Membership.
| SnSp90 | Youden J  | 
PPP BR 40%  | 
NPP BR 40%  | 
PPP BR 10%  | 
NPP BR 10%  | 
AUC | AUC 95% CI  | 
Χ2 | Predictor p  | 
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
One-Variable Models:
 | 
||||||||||
| Trial 2 Accuracy | .84 | 0.71 | .93 | .85 | .69 | .97 | .89 | [.82, .96] | 82.65*** | |
| Effort-Max | .33 | 0.28 | .66 | .69 | .23 | .93 | .68 | [.58, .78] | 12.02** | |
| View-Familiar (Max) | .29 | 0.16 | .58 | .65 | .19 | .92 | .66 | [.56, .76] | 9.69** | |
| View-Unfamiliar (Max) | .29 | 0.20 | .61 | .66 | .19 | .92 | .66 | [.56, .76] | 10.07** | |
| Response-Familiar (Max) | .33 | 0.26 | .65 | .68 | .24 | .93 | .67 | [.57, .77] | 10.26** | |
| Response-Unfamiliar (Max) | .37 | 0.07 | .42 | .80 | .11 | 1.00 | .71 | [.58, .85] | 6.58* | |
| Effort-Baseline | .16−.18 | 0.04 | .57 | .61 | .20 | .91 | .54 | [.44, .65] | 1.28 | |
| View-Familiar (Baseline) | .16 | 0.04 | .50 | .61 | .10 | .90 | .58 | [.48, .68] | 2.75 | |
| View-Unfamiliar (Baseline) | .16 | 0.03 | .50 | .61 | .11 | .90 | .57 | [.47, .67] | 2.43 | |
| Response-Familiar (Baseline) | .16−.18 | 0.04 | .57 | .61 | .20 | .91 | .54 | [.44, .64] | 1.08 | |
| Response-Unfamiliar (Baseline) | .26 | 0.06 | .41 | 1.00 | .11 | 1.00 | .60 | [.44, .76] | 2.62 | |
| Effort-Range | .55 | 0.44 | .77 | .75 | .37 | .94 | .78 | [.70, .86] | 38.34*** | |
| Familiarity-Difference | .24 | 0.12 | .61 | .63 | .21 | .91 | .61 | [.51, .71] | 4.65* | |
| 
 Two-Variable Models: Accuracy +  | 
||||||||||
| Effort-Max | .82−.84 | 0.70 | .95 | .85 | .75 | .97 | .90 | [.83, .96] | 83.96*** | .258 | 
| View-Familiar (Max) | .82−.84 | 0.70 | .95 | .85 | .75 | .97 | .90 | [.83, .96] | 83.88*** | .272 | 
| View-Unfamiliar (Max) | .82−.84 | 0.70 | .95 | .85 | .75 | .97 | .90 | [.83, .96] | 83.92*** | .265 | 
| Response-Familiar (Max) | .82 | 0.70 | .95 | .85 | .75 | .97 | .90 | [.83, .96] | 84.02*** | .247 | 
| Response-Unfamiliar (Max) | .79 | 0.72 | .83 | .89 | .45 | .98 | .95 | [.89, 1.00] | 37.01*** | .351 | 
| Effort-Range | .82 | 0.67 | .90 | .84 | .56 | .97 | .92 | [.86, .97] | 86.52*** | .053 | 
| Familiarity-Difference | .82 | 0.71 | .93 | .85 | .69 | .97 | .89 | [.82, .96] | 87.72*** | .783 | 
Note. SnSp90 = Sensitivity (detection of simulated TBI) when Sp Specificity (bona fide TBI) is set at cut point ≥ .90 (range presented when cut point is associated with multiple Sn values); PPP = Positive Predictive Power, NPP = Negative Predictive Power (each presented for 40% and 10% base rate); AUC = ROC area under the curve. See Table 1 for pupil variable abbreviation key.