Table 5a.
Classification Statistics: TOMM Trial 1 Performance for Single and Two-variable Models Predicting Healthy Comparison (HC) and Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) Group Membership.
SnSp90 | Youden J |
PPP BR 40% |
NPP BR 40% |
PPP BR 10% |
NPP BR 10% |
AUC | AUC 95% CI |
Χ2 | Predictor p |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One-Variable Models:
|
||||||||||
Trial 1 Accuracy | .28 | 0.37 | .71 | .72 | .29 | .94 | .71 | [.61, .80] | 18.21*** | |
Effort-Max | .08−.23 | 0.26 | .59 | .70 | .19 | .93 | .67 | [.58, .77] | 10.57** | |
View-Familiar (Max) | .12−.19 | 0.30 | .59 | .72 | .19 | .94 | .70 | [.60, .79] | 13.46*** | |
View-Unfamiliar (Max) | .15−.17 | 0.29 | .59 | .71 | .21 | .93 | .68 | [.58, .77] | 11.66** | |
Response-Familiar (Max) | .23−.26 | 0.30 | .60 | .71 | .21 | .94 | .68 | [.59, .78] | 11.89** | |
Response-Unfamiliar (Max) | .18−.20 | 0.32 | .57 | .73 | .19 | .94 | .74 | [.64, .84] | 16.93*** | |
Effort-Baseline | .15−.17 | 0.34 | .62 | .73 | .21 | .94 | .72 | [.63, .81] | 19.38*** | |
View-Familiar (Baseline) | .15−.23 | 0.32 | .60 | .73 | .21 | .94 | .71 | [.62, .81] | 17.78*** | |
View-Unfamiliar (Baseline) | .15−.25 | 0.31 | .60 | .72 | .21 | .93 | .71 | [.62, .80] | 16.58*** | |
Response-Familiar (Baseline) | .23 | 0.35 | .62 | .74 | .22 | .94 | .74 | [.65, .82] | 21.36*** | |
Response-Unfamiliar (Baseline) | .18−.24 | 0.36 | .61 | .75 | .19 | .94 | .72 | [.62, .82] | 14.03*** | |
Effort-Range | .17−.21 | 0.16 | .57 | .65 | .18 | .92 | .62 | [.52, .72] | 5.87* | |
Familiarity-Difference | .10 | −0.01 | .38 | .60 | .08 | .90 | .57 | [.47, .67] | 1.96 | |
Two-Variable Models: Accuracy + |
||||||||||
Effort-Max | .28−.32 | 0.41 | .67 | .75 | .25 | .95 | .77 | [.68, .86] | 26.56*** | .006 |
View-Familiar (Max) | .29−.37 | 0.40 | .66 | .75 | .24 | .95 | .78 | [.69, .86] | 28.81*** | .002 |
View-Unfamiliar (Max) | .25−.38 | 0.42 | .67 | .76 | .27 | .95 | .76 | [.68, .85] | 26.93*** | .005 |
Response-Familiar (Max) | .30−.32 | 0.39 | .67 | .75 | .25 | .95 | .77 | [.68, .86] | 26.45*** | .006 |
Response-Unfamiliar (Max) | .27−.29 | 0.41 | .64 | .76 | .23 | .94 | .81 | [.73, .90] | 31.40*** | .001 |
Effort-Baseline | .36−.40 | 0.42 | .66 | .76 | .25 | .96 | .79 | [.71, .87] | 32.27*** | .001 |
View-Familiar (Baseline) | .35−.37 | 0.41 | .65 | .76 | .25 | .96 | .78 | [.70, .87] | 31.36*** | .001 |
View-Unfamiliar (Baseline) | .36 | 0.40 | .65 | .75 | .25 | .95 | .78 | [.69, .86] | 29.92*** | .001 |
Response-Familiar (Baseline) | .36−.40 | 0.42 | .66 | .76 | .25 | .96 | .79 | [.71, .87] | 32.55*** | < .001 |
Response-Unfamiliar (Baseline) | .24 | 0.46 | .65 | .80 | .24 | .96 | .80 | [.71, .88] | 28.81*** | .003 |
Effort-Range | .30 | 0.34 | .68 | .72 | .24 | .94 | .73 | [.64, .82] | 28.81*** | .109 |
Note. SnSp90 = Sensitivity (detection of simulated TBI) when Sp Specificity (bona fide TBI) is set at cut point ≥ .90 (range presented when cut point is associated with multiple Sn values); PPP = Positive Predictive Power, NPP = Negative Predictive Power (each presented for 40% and 10% base rate); AUC = ROC area under the curve. See Table 1 for pupil variable abbreviation key.