Table 3.
Calibration performance of the CBC risk model
Validation dataset | E/O ratio at 5 years (95% CI) | E/O ratio at 10 years (95% CI) | Calibration slope (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
Europe—Other | 0.87 (076 to 0.98) | 0.75 (0.68 to 0.81) | 1.11 ( 0.40 to 1.83) |
Europe—Scandinavia | 1.59 (1.28 to 1.91) | 1.23 (1.08 to 1.38) | 0.86 ( 0.16 to 1.57) |
Europe—UK | 1.35 (1.38 to 2.17) | 1.82 (1.53 to 2.11) | 0.85 (− 0.03 to 1.73) |
Netherlands—BOSOM | 0.45 (0.37 to 0.53) | 0.50 (0.43 to 0.57) | 1.34 ( 0.76 to 1.93) |
Netherlands—EMC | 0.48 (0.38 to 0.57) | 0.43 (0.37 to 0.50) | 1.19 ( 0.65 to 1.73) |
Netherlands—NCR | 0.57 (0.54 to 0.59) | 0.54 (0.52 to 0.56) | 1.40 ( 1.11 to 1.68) |
US and Australia | 0.43 (0.33 to 0.54) | 0.56 (0.45 to 0.67) | 1.13 ( 0.25 to 2.00) |
Meta-analysis | 0.86 (0.50 to 1.46) | 0.82 (0.51 to 1.32) | 1.26 ( 1.01 to 1.50) |
95% PI | 0.20 to 3.75 | 0.21 to 3.14 | 1.01 to 1.50 |
Chowdhury et al. [7]
E/O expected-observed, CI confidence interval, UK United Kingdom, BOSOM Breast Cancer Outcome Study of Mutation carriers, EMC Erasmus Medical Center, NCR Netherlands Cancer Registry, PI prediction interval