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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Aug 23.
Published in final edited form as: Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2020 Apr 11;181(2):423–434. doi: 10.1007/s10549-020-05611-8

Table 3.

Calibration performance of the CBC risk model

Validation dataset E/O ratio at 5 years (95% CI) E/O ratio at 10 years (95% CI) Calibration slope (95% CI)
Europe—Other 0.87 (076 to 0.98) 0.75 (0.68 to 0.81) 1.11 ( 0.40 to 1.83)
Europe—Scandinavia 1.59 (1.28 to 1.91) 1.23 (1.08 to 1.38) 0.86 ( 0.16 to 1.57)
Europe—UK 1.35 (1.38 to 2.17) 1.82 (1.53 to 2.11) 0.85 (− 0.03 to 1.73)
Netherlands—BOSOM 0.45 (0.37 to 0.53) 0.50 (0.43 to 0.57) 1.34 ( 0.76 to 1.93)
Netherlands—EMC 0.48 (0.38 to 0.57) 0.43 (0.37 to 0.50) 1.19 ( 0.65 to 1.73)
Netherlands—NCR 0.57 (0.54 to 0.59) 0.54 (0.52 to 0.56) 1.40 ( 1.11 to 1.68)
US and Australia 0.43 (0.33 to 0.54) 0.56 (0.45 to 0.67) 1.13 ( 0.25 to 2.00)
Meta-analysis 0.86 (0.50 to 1.46) 0.82 (0.51 to 1.32) 1.26 ( 1.01 to 1.50)
95% PI 0.20 to 3.75 0.21 to 3.14 1.01 to 1.50

Chowdhury et al. [7]

E/O expected-observed, CI confidence interval, UK United Kingdom, BOSOM Breast Cancer Outcome Study of Mutation carriers, EMC Erasmus Medical Center, NCR Netherlands Cancer Registry, PI prediction interval