Table 1.

Mortality and estimated excess deaths between 1 January and 23 September, 2020

Jurisdiction	Expected deaths	Observed deaths	Excess death	EDFa	Mortality per 100 000	COVID-19 deaths	Excess deaths attributed to COVID-19 deaths %
	(95% CI)		(95% CI)
Ecuador	51 360	87 762	36 402	1.71	502	7410	20
	(51 162–51 557)		(36 205–36 600)
Azuay	2844 (2809–2879)	3582	738 (703–773)	1.26	406	177	24
Bolivar	596 (579–613)	816	220 (203–237)	1.37	389	47	21
Cañar	778 (759–797)	1061	283 (264–302)	1.37	377	61	22
Carchi	497 (483–512)	674	177 (162–191)	1.36	361	79	45
Chimborazo	1710 (1682–1739)	2556	846 (817–874)	1.50	488	288	34
Cotopaxi	1251 (1226–1277)	1840	589 (563–614)	1.47	376	213	36
El Oro	2088 (2056–2120)	3800	1712	1.82	531	399	23
			(1680–1744)
Esmeraldas	1153 (1129–1176)	1625	472 (449–496)	1.41	252	186	39
Galapagos	34 (30–38)	35	1 (−3–5)	1.02	106	0	0
Guayas	14 882	31 154	16 272	2.09	710	1689	10
	(14 785–14 977)		(16 177–16 369)
Imbabura	1414 (1388–1441)	1930	516 (489–542)	1.36	405	118	23
Loja	1688 (1660–1717)	2093	405 (376–433)	1.24	402	198	49
Los Rios	2548 (2514–2583)	3842	1294	1.51	417	344	27
			(1259–1328)
Manabi	4660 (4597–4725)	7671	3011	1.65	491	877	29
			(2946–3074)
Morona Santiago	347 (335–360)	453	106 (93–118)	1.30	230	15	14
Napo	262 (251–273)	406	144 (133–155)	1.55	304	75	52
Orellana	284 (272–295)	409	125 (114–137)	1.44	254	42	34
Pastaza	217 (206–228)	310	93 (82–104)	1.43	271	52	56
Pichincha	9137 (9064–9212)	14 614	5477	1.60	453	1402	26
			(5402–5550)
Santa Elena	934 (914–954)	2398	1464	2.57	598	365	25
			(1444–1484)
Santo Domingo de Los Tsachilas	1457 (1431–1483)	2419	962 (936–988)	1.66	527	407	42
Sucumbios	430 (416–444)	684	254 (240–268)	1.59	297	88	35
Tungurahua	1973 (1941–2004)	3117	1144	1.58	528	248	22
			(1113–1176)
Zamora Chinchipe	176 (167–185)	273	97 (88–106)	1.55	227	40	41

^aEDF: excess death factor. It is defined as the ratio between the number of observed deaths over the number of predicted deaths without COVID-19 .