Fig. 7. Contributions of explanatory variables to the international spread of Salmonella Enteritidis in the Global and the Atlantic lineages.

Inclusion probabilities corresponding to Bayes factor support values of 3, 10, and 100 are represented by vertical lines in the bar plots, respectively. The conditional effect size (ln coefficient), which is the effect size when the variable is included in the model, is represented by the mean and credible intervals (95% HPD intervals) of the GLM coefficients on a log scale. HPD, highest posterior density. Bars show the posterior probability of inclusion of each variable in the GLM model. Circles show the estimated conditional effect sizes for the GLM coefficients (>0 = positive association, <0 = negative association).