Table 3.
Crash years in different scenarios
| Scenario | Crash Years | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | Non Linear Least Squares | No COVID19 | - |
| COVID19 Baseline | 2020 | ||
| COVID19 Downside | 2020 | ||
| COVID19 Upside | 2020 | ||
| Indirect Inference | No COVID19 | - | |
| COVID19 Baseline | 2020 | ||
| COVID19 Downside | 2020 | ||
| COVID19 Upside | 2020 | ||
| Population | Non Linear Least Squares | No COVID19 | 2066 |
| COVID19 Baseline | 2067 | ||
| COVID19 Downside | 2068 | ||
| COVID19 Upside | 2067 | ||
| Indirect Inference | No COVID19 | 2069 | |
| COVID19 Baseline | 2072 | ||
| COVID19 Downside | 2073 | ||
| COVID19 Upside | 2071 | ||
| Environment | Non Linear Least Squares | No COVID19 | 2038 |
| COVID19 Baseline | 2038 | ||
| COVID19 Downside | 2039 | ||
| COVID19 Upside | 2038 | ||
| Indirect Inference | No COVID19 | 2037 | |
| COVID19 Baseline | 2038 | ||
| COVID19 Downside | 2039 | ||
| COVID19 Upside | 2038 |