Table 2.
The death of acute pancreatitis in 1990/2019 and temporal trends
| Death cases (95% UI) | Age-standard mortality rate (per 100,000) | EAPC of mortality rate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2019 | 1990 | 2019 | 1990–2019 (%) | |
| Global | 69,817.6 (62,046.7–82,529.3) | 115,053.2 (104,304.4–128,173.4) | 1.7 (1.5–2.0) | 1.4 (1.3–1.6) | − 17.2 (− 27.1 to − 6.6) |
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 43,129.0 (37,615.8–51,561.2) | 71,983.2 (63,882.3–81,418.6) | 2.2 (1.9–2.6) | 1.9 (1.7–2.1) | − 14.5 (− 24.4 to − 3.1) |
| Female | 26,688.6(23,528.9–32,952.8) | 43,070 (36,592.6–50,773.7) | 1.3 (1.1–1.6) | 1.0 (0.8–1.2) | − 21.5 (− 36.2 to − 8.3) |
| SDI factor | |||||
| High SDI | 12,159.0 (11,441.0–13,388.5) | 16,160.0 (14,600.9–18,476.3) | 1.2 (1.1–1.3) | 0.9 (0.8–1.0) | − 26.9 (− 30.9 to − 21.5) |
| High-middle SDI | 21,366.4 (19,824.1–25,093.1) | 34,393.0 (31,194.4–37,307.4) | 2.0 (1.9–2.4) | 1.8 (1.6–1.9) | − 11.7(− 27.4 to − 3.0) |
| Middle SDI | 15,561.3 (13,213.7–20,288.1) | 25,776.2 (22,835.9–30,111.2) | 1.4 (1.2–1.9) | 1.1 (1.0–1.3) | − 24.7 (− 39.6 to − 7.6) |
| Low-middle SDI | 14,314.8 (11,855.7–18,507.1) | 26,440.8 (21,686.3–30,710.8) | 2.2 (1.8–2.8) | 1.9 (1.5–2.2) | − 13.7 (− 31.8 to − 13.1) |
| Low SDI | 6385.7 (4653.4–8612.9) | 12,232.2 (9722.6–15,560.5) | 2.4 (1.7–3.3) | 2.1 (1.7–2.7) | − 13.5 (− 27.8 to − 4.8) |
| Region | |||||
| Andean Latin America | 1076.8 (811.2–1299.4) | 1444.9 (1122.3–1971.2) | 4.6(3.4–5.6) | 2.5 (2.0–3.5) | − 44.2 (− 59.6 to − 15.1) |
| Australasia | 215.9 (198.6–233.7) | 339 (292.5–396.5) | 0.9 (0.9–1) | 0.7 (0.6–0.8) | − 29.7 (− 37.7 to − 17.5) |
| Caribbean | 384.3 (338.7–436.9) | 659.0(557.6–795.7) | 1.4 (1.3–1.6) | 1.3 (1.1–1.6) | − 9.6 (− 24.2 to 7.0) |
| Central Asia | 1179.1 (1016.3–1321.5) | 1653.3 (1381.5–1884.1) | 2.4 (2.1–2.8) | 2.1 (1.8–2.4) | − 12.1 (− 24.3 to 1.7) |
| Central Europe | 4476.7 (4274.1–5033.9) | 5140.4 (4513.4–5828.0) | 3.2 (3.1–3.6) | 2.7 (2.4–3.1) | − 15.6 (− 27.2 to − 4.2) |
| Central Latin America | 2018.5 (1909.5–2130.6) | 4332.6 (3728.8–5065.2) | 2.1 (1.9–2.2) | 1.8 (1.6–2.1) | − 12.4 (− 24.8 to 2.2) |
| Central Sub-Saharan Africa | 452.4 (302.2–763.6) | 911.5 (530.4–1648.7) | 1.8 (1.2–3.1) | 1.4 (0.8–2.7) | − 19.7 (v43 to 4.6) |
| East Asia | 9323.9 (7503.7–12,418.1) | 11,289.8 (8798.1–13,450.7) | 1.1 (0.9–1.5) | 0.6 (0.5–0.7) | − 44.3 (− 60.6 to − 26.3) |
| Eastern Europe | 7662.1 (6921.7–10,789) | 15,578.4 (13,366.9–17,734.7) | 2.9 (2.6–4.1) | 5.3 (4.5–6) | 83.2(20.1–115.4) |
| Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa | 1398.2(899.1–2104.9) | 2769.3 (1710.4–4739.2) | 1.7 (1.0–2.6) | 1.5 (0.9–2.7) | − 12.1 (− 34.6 to 9.5) |
| High-income Asia Pacific | 1792.4 (1602.4–2057.1) | 2248.0 (1886.8–2803.8) | 1.0 (0.9–1.1) | 0.5 (0.4–0.6) | − 49.5 (− 55.7 to − 39.5) |
| High-income North America | 3348.2 (3123.7–3579.4) | 5443.7 (4993.9–5955.3) | 1.0 (0.9–1) | 0.9 (0.9–1.0) | − 5.6 (− 9.6 to 1.3) |
| North Africa and Middle East | 1718.7 (1389–2350.2) | 3394.9 (2654.5–4069.2) | 1.1 (0.9–1.5) | 0.9 (0.7.0–1.1) | − 21.2 (− 42.6 to 2.9) |
| Oceania | 36.8 (25.7–52.2) | 76.7 (53.7–107.9) | 1.1 (0.7–1.5) | 0.9 (0.7–1.3) | − 11.9 (− 32 to 11) |
| South Asia | 14,050.3 (11,344.3–19,215) | 25,936.8 (20,085.4–31,351.7) | 2.3 (1.8–3.1) | 1.8 (1.4–2.2) | − 20.2 (− 42.4 to 11.9) |
| Southeast Asia | 4993.4 (3842.9–7457.8) | 7913.5 (6540.7–11,170.8) | 1.8 (1.4–2.6) | 1.3 (1.1–1.8) | − 25.1 (− 40.9 to − 2.5) |
| Southern Latin America | 1267.6 (1136.0–1374.1) | 1495.7 (1347.0–1732.5) | 2.8 (2.5–3.0) | 1.8 (1.7–2.1) | − 33.8 (− 42.5 to − 17.9) |
| Southern Sub-Saharan Africa | 325.4 (263.3–414.7) | 573.9 (453–675.4) | 1.0 (0.8–1.3) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | − 7.8 (− 33.5 to 10.6) |
| Tropical Latin America | 2329.6(2212.2–2485.9) | 5557.4 (4793.8–5987.2) | 2.3 (2.1–2.4) | 2.3 (2.0–2.5) | 1.0 (− 15.1 to 12) |
| Western Europe | 7986.7 (7447.9–8873.5) | 9984.5 (8925.7–11,455.5) | 1.4 (1.4–1.6) | 1.1 (1.0–1.2) | − 25.7 (− 30.9 to − 19.4) |
| Western Sub-Saharan Africa | 3781.0 (2498.4–5769.9) | 8310.1 (5927.1–11,883.0) | 3.8 (2.5–5.8) | 3.6 (2.7–5.1) | − 3.9 (− 30.4 to 28.5) |
EAPC, estimated annual percentage change; UI, uncertainty interval