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. 2021 Aug 25;21:332. doi: 10.1186/s12876-021-01906-2

Table 3.

The DALYs of acute pancreatitis in 1990/2019 and temporal trends

DALYs (95% UI) Age-standardized DALY rate (per 100,000) EAPC of DALY
1990 2019 1990 2019 1990–2019 (%)
Global 2,437,815.7 (2,179,992.9–2,885,021.2) 3,641,105.7 (3,282,952.5–4,026,948.1) 53.9 (48.2–63.3) 44.4 (40.1–49.1) − 17.6 (− 27.0 to − 7.8)
Male 1,633,012.8 (1,426,941.6–1,942,851.5) 2,502,438.2 (2,224,864.1–842,383.8) 72.4 (63.4–85.9) 62.0 (55.2–70.4) − 14.4 (− 23.8 to − 3.4)
Female 804,802.9 (691,735.0–1,038,584.8) 1,138,667.5 (969,571.1–1,334,422.8) 35.2 (30.6–44.8) 27.0 (22.9–31.5) − 23.5 (− 38.2 to − 11.9)
SDI factor
High SDI 341,420.8 (321,211.0–370,387.3) 389,932.5 (360,177.7–429,354.3) 35.3 (33.2–38.3) 25.7 (23.8–28.4) − 27.1 (− 31.8 to − 22.7)
High-middle SDI 720,516.0 (667,787.2–839,145.4) 1,057,814.6 (962,196.3–1,156,821.3) 63.7 (59.1–74.2) 57.1 (51.9–62.4) − 10.5 (− 24.7 to − 1.7)
Middle SDI 580,739.7 (498,484.7–739,252.5) 813,217.3 (727,039.6–960,672.8) 43.7 (37.3–56.4) 31.6 (28.2–37.2) − 27.8 (− 40.3 to − 14.2)
Low-middle SDI 549,795.0(462,013.9–726,880.2) 919,232.5 (751,488.8–1,066,251.6) 68.4 (57.0–88.3) 58.0(47.3–66.8) − 15.3 (− 32.5 to 8.6)
Low SDI 244,325.0 (185,104.9–330,618.6) 459,380.2 (367,333.8–583,539.5) 75.1 (55.2–00.8) 64.0 (50.8–81.3) − 14.9 (− 29.9 to 3.3)
Region
Andean Latin America 41,681.2 (49,404.7–30,752.3) 43,654.9 (34,042.4–57,110.3) 144.8 (108.3–173.2) 72.5 (56.6–96.0) − 49.9 (− 63.0 to − 25.6)
Australasia 5562.6 (6030.6–5108.7) 7137.4 (6312.5–8100.2) 24.4 (22.4–26.5) 16.6 (14.7–18.8) − 32.2 (− 39.4.2 to − 21.6)
Caribbean 13,236.4 (15,634.5–11,659.6) 20,254.6 (16,880.2–24,620.4) 44.5 (39.3–51.6) 40.1 (33.3–48.7) − 9.9 (− 23.8.0 to 5.7)
Central Asia 41,215.8 (45,305.5–36,642.2) 60,311.2 (51,431.9–69,088.5) 77.1 (68.3–85.3) 67.4 (57–76.9) − 12.5 (− 24.4 to 1.0)
Central Europe 147,739.5 (161,428.9–141,054.8) 140,578.0 (123,451.4–158,896) 106.0 (101.2–115.9) 84.4 (74–95.6) − 20.4 (− 30.9.0 to − 9.5)
Central Latin America 80,017.9 (84,085.9–74,360) 141,733.4 (121,885.5–165,140.4) 67.0 (63.3–70.8) 56.5 (48.7–65.7) − 15.7 (− 27.4.0 to − 0.9)
Central Sub-Saharan Africa 17,413.0 (29,045.2–11,986.3) 35,823.5 (21,454.6–62,656.8) 54.4 (36.7–90.9) 44.6 (26.5–80.0) − 18.0 (− 42.1.1 to 10.6)
East Asia 333,276.6(431,225.3–266,027.9) 319,973 (255,865.5–381,413.7) 31.7 (25.7–41.5) 16.5 (13.2–19.6) − 47.9 (− 62.1.3 to − 32.1)
Eastern Europe 283,386.3 (383,366.6–254,907.8) 558,129.2 (481,178.6–640,436.3) 109.2 (98.2–146.8) 206.7 (178.3–237.9) − 89.2 (− 29.5.2 to 120.3)
Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa 51,548.1 (78,409.9–34,736.6) 103,187.0 (65,327.8–170,638.8) 49.6 (32.1–74.6) 43.3 (27.1–73.7) − 12.7 (− 34.4.1 to 14.2)
High-income Asia Pacific 54,433.0 (66,219.4–47,665.2) 48,064.3 (41,966.4–56,862.1) 27.6 (24.1–33.4) 14.7 (12.7–17.4) − 46.6 (− 57.3.3 to − 37)
High-income North America 100,034.4 (109,713.5–92,703.1) 145,495.4 (134,413.4–161,035.3) 30.8(28.5–33.9) 28.6 (26.4–31.6) − 7.4 (− 10.7.0 to − 1.9)
North Africa and Middle East 50,486.0 (69,094.5–42,546.5) 91,833.5 (74,033.1–111,078.4) 25.8 (21.5–35.0) 19.5 (15.7–23.3) − 24.6 (− 41.2.0 to − 4.6)
Oceania 1540.1 (2186.2–1100.1) 3181.1 (2194.1–4459.1) 33.9 (23.9–47.8) 30.3 (21.4–42.0) − 10.7 (− 32.7.1 to 16.6)
South Asia 548,424.8 (759,731.1–448,431.7) 909,993.5 (707,700.0–1,093,715.6) 69.9 (56.5–95.3) 55.3 (43.1–66.4) − 20.9 (− 43.6.0 to 8.2)
Southeast Asia 187,984.2 (286,963–145,388) 254,592.2 (204,677.0–376,978.7) 54.5 (42.3–81.1) 37.9 (30.8–54.8) − 30.5 (− 43.6.1 to − 12.7)
Southern Latin America 37,055.6 (40,031.4–33,771.4) 40,292.4 (36,539.8–45,858.7) 78.6 (71.7–85.0) 51.6 (46.8–58.8) − 34.3 (− 42.4.2 to − 21.1)
Southern Sub-Saharan Africa 12,983.4 (16,365.4–10,471.3) 21,220.6 (16,850.1–25,384.5) 34.6 (28.1–43.7) 30.0 (23.8–35.7) − 13.3 (− 38.3.0 to 5.8)
Tropical Latin America 90,244.6 (95,308.1–85,172.8) 175,860.2 (155,755.4–189,220.5) 75.4 (71.0–79.9) 70.6 (62.5–76.0) − 6.3 (− 17.3.0 to 2.0)
Western Europe 196,013.5(212,945.9–184,807.6) 199,700.1 (183,864.2–224,326.9) 38.8 (36.6–41.9) 27.1 (25.2–30.4) − 30.1 (− 35.2.2 to − 24.1)
Western Sub-Saharan Africa 143,538.8 (213,834.4–95,218.6) 320,090.3 (226,679.1–458,546.1) 122.5 (80.9–189.4) 115.5 (82.3–165.9) − 5.7 (− 33.1 to 26.2)

EAPC, estimated annual percentage change; UI, uncertainty interval; DALY, disability-adjusted life-year