Table 1.

Posterior probabilities of models with different number of lags.

	Employment			Fatality Rates
	FL	NY	TX	FL	NY	TX
1 lag	0	0	0	0	0.9998	0.9999
2 lags	0	0.9998	0	0.9998	0.0002	0.0001
3 lags	0.0017	0.0002	0	0.0001	0	0
4 lags	0.9983	0	1	0	0	0
5 lags	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 lags	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 lags	0	0	0	0	0	0